RE: Very good results for Fresnillo for me today.2 Mar 2021 13:55
If the volume of physical silver demanded in the March 2021 COMEX contract is able to be met at the current price level, despite the visible stress points in the physical silver market, it is possible, if not likely, that a future month in which the delivery of large quantities of physical silver are demanded, say May or July 2021, may be the point at which the silver squeeze commences.
Conclusion
In the past month, online posts initially published by WSB have created, according to industry experts, an unprecedented tidal wave of demand in the physical silver market which is driven by purchases by ETFs as well as at the wholesale and retail market levels.
This tidal wave has resulted in at least 5 visible signs of stress which can be observed at various points across the physical silver market. Evidence to date suggests that this stress shows no signs of abatement and is likely to persist if not become acute.
The objective of WSB and other new advocates of silver is to facilitate a short squeeze in the market that would result in the price of silver rising exponentially, potentially in a similar fashion to the short squeeze that occurred with Game Stop in January 2021.
Systemic and widespread documented evidence of market manipulation does help to provide the conditions for a short squeeze to occur within the silver market.
As new institutional and individual investors enter the silver market, and knowledge of market manipulation becomes more widely disseminated, the opportunity to realise asymmetric financial returns via the silver market will be more understood and thus creating additional momentum and demand for physical silver via a positive feedback loop.
Looking forward, the March 2021 COMEX silver futures contract is on track to be the largest delivery month in the history of the market, outpacing the prior record set in July 2020.
Forward delivery months such as May 2021 also show a strong level of demand for physical silver through elevated levels of open interest.
Record demand for the delivery of physical silver via the COMEX in the coming weeks and months coupled with unprecedented demand observed in February 2021 and visible signs of acute stress within the physical market provides the necessary conditions for a sharp accelerated rise in the price of silver moving forward.
John Adams is the Chief Economist for As Good As Gold Australia
[1] As outlined in the book “The Big Silver Short”, the COMEX silver futures market is the key price setting mechanism of the international spot price of silver.
Full reference is Marcus, C., (2020), “The Big Silver Short – How the Wall Street Banks have left the Silver Market in place for the Short Squeeze of a Lifetime”, Self-Published, San Bernardino, California, United States of America