Results / Prospects9 Mar 2024 14:39
Excellent results, and frankly nothing more or less than I expected. As for the detailed RNS, well, anyone that takes the time to read it all will garner all they need to know as to whether to invest (or not). If you absorb the details, you will see what a secure investment this is - frankly an indexed link licence to print profits.
Debt - the duration and rate are extremely advantageous. They are quite clear on their desire to leverage debt, and to be paying a long duration fixed 2.8% whilst receiving an inflation linked upwards/plus income well in excess of such, is always going to provide security, and income. Cash at hand alone should be earning more than the debt rate.
Rent roll - a rent roll of £40m against a debt cost of £7.4m clearly highlights the disconnect here. That the 2 problematical housing suppliers equate to 15% of properties, shows that they can absorb problems with individual providers, and also the upside if positively managed/resolved.
Property value - interesting to note the commentary that the small selective sales were to reaffirm the valuations, being around book, and that there is no intention (need) to make further sales. Also interesting that against mkt cap of £240m £75m is unencumbered.
Property valuation/NAV discount - the doldrum sentiment currently prevelant ignores that SOHO have no need (and I hope no intention) to sell; they have 9 years to await stabilisation/appreciation of property prices, and I don't think there is a window that long in recent memory where they haven't appreciated. I believe the NAV to be true, and for the patient this will manifest itself in the SP narrowing towards it.
EPC work - the way they have initiated a small scale trial/rollout of upgrading EPC ratings is astute, learning what works on a small scale whilst building relationships to efficiently deliver across their portfolio. As well as complying with legislation, this is cementing their good owner status with housing provision providers, and cementing those relationships. And yes, maintaining the value of the properties.
Specialised sector provision - the security of their focused proposition, ergo security of income, is highlighted by their mentioning that 2 of their contracts, were with local authorities that were effectively in bankruptcy special measures, but the regulatory requirement ensured provision, hence rents, were undisturbed. The specialised housing they provide, is in demand, and short supply, and the regulatory protection of provision is the bedrock to SOHO that seems misunderstood/missed. The provision must be provided by law, irrespective of whose name is above the door. The tenant housing provider may change/default but the need/legal requirement remains.
Dividend - an index linked rising rent roll income against a fixed low debt cost is always going to support the dividend, and at current SP, with thier reaffirmed progressive dividend policy, will be yielding 10%+ for the foreseeable fu