East Denver Oil Production24 Nov 2018 20:08
Part 1
Yes I am Joy - shall we work it out from $100 oil? What a silly comment! But do not worry, I think as I have said before, it will be heading to the low $40s in my view so am I looking at it from an optimistic bullish view.
But let me put it a different way for both yourself and HD. Let us look at Powell and Wildhorse production and just work the optimistic view in my opinion that oil stays where it is. The production was running over 16% losses per month which doesn’t sound much. But in the first 6 months, based on 15%, the production was 7504 barrels short which means losing $365,145 short in just the first 6 months - so just 1% is huge.
Also I based it on expected production in the first month that was supposed to hit 1549 bopd but only achieved 1379 bopd, losing 11% as expected, so again on the optimistic view. So let’s be real and work it out on the production achieved and working it out on current wti.
Now looking at Wildhorse and Powell production in the first 6 months, the next 6 wells will create revenue as below based on current wti and assuming the same production is achieved.
Month 1 - 41,366bopd
Month 2 - 34,439 (should be 35,161 at 15%)
Month 3 - 27,588 (should be 29,887 at 15%)
Month 4 - 24,281 (should be 25,404 at 15%)
Month 5 - 19,655 (should be 21,593 at 15%)
Month 6 - 16,971 (should be 18,354 at 15%)