Member Info for coolebenji

..since getting my eyebrows done l always look surprised..!

Counting aeroplanes:

Falling SP with growing Revenue that does not at up, the was 181 Departures from LHR today 30th, sample size between 6am and 6pm, one airport, one direction traffic out...

30th Aug 2021 - Bank Holiday Monday
LHR Departures
181 flights vs 118 cancelled ...Last Monday 164 Departures = 16 additional departures

29th Aug 2021 - Sunday
LHR Departures
178 flights vs 118 cancelled

28th Aug 2021 - Saturday
LHR Departures
174 flights vs 107 cancelled

27th Aug 2021 - Friday
LHR Departures
181 flights vs 113 cancelled

26th Aug 2021 - Thursday
LHR Departures
173 flights vs 113 cancelled

25th Aug 2021 - Wednesday
LHR Departures
161 flights vs 113 cancelled

Departures to date, Daily Tally:
in sequence order:
164, ***,161, 173, 181, 174, 178,181,181
in numerical order:
161, ***, ***, 164, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, 173, 174, ***, ***, ***, 178, ***, ***, 181, 181

..not enough staff to cope with demand is that..?
It comes after Border Force officials had reportedly been told they don’t need to make Covid checks for travellers arriving into the UK from green - and amber-list countries.

..change in demand with amber list countries rules changing, but in essence you are absolutely right

Pictures here look terrible… :(

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/16002878/covid-checks-heathrow-chaos-queues-passengers/

Real news….
breaking… Heathrow Airport chaos…
… passengers at Heathrow Airport faced hours of queuing during the Bank Holiday weekend.

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/heathrow-airport-chaos-queues-holidays-travel-2021-covid-b952933.html

Busy airports = busy aeroplanes
..the truth is out there…

Simon Calder points out…
“Joe Biden, is in no hurry… But it looks increasingly hard to justify, and will surely have to change sometime soon.”

“American adventures

Q: Any idea when the US will lift its ban on entry from the UK? I booked flights and a hotel package with BA in January to go to New York and Washington in October. If, as seems likely, I will not be allowed to travel, when would you advise approaching BA about getting the dates moved?

Andy 14959

A: You should be in luck. The president, Joe Biden, is in no hurry to remove his presidential proclamation banning UK visitors. But it looks increasingly hard to justify, and will surely have to change sometime soon.

Just as a point of guidance for the future I would not dream of booking an October trip to the US until perhaps a week beforehand. There is always going to be capacity.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/simon-calder-travel-holiday-advice-b1910086.html

..feel free to reinterpret the data or you your own data, it could be a weekly variation, today we can compare today’s data with last week’s numbers.. the data could show a general decline in time to come and any of these numbers are outliers… yes so many ifs… Flights don’t represent PAX numbers…
…these are all British Airways scheduled passenger Flights and this is a sample size…
…the only people’s mind I expect to change is the toughest critics and tough questions do help me try harder, to do better and improve my understanding, unfortunately there is not too much opposing thinking expect for a narrow narrative…
…this is back of a packet of fags kinda stuff, l am not going to analyse the whole market chasing every variation and deviation for it all to be voided by a single unknown news event that would be seen in the data…

…DYOR, this is mine..

Edition:
Putting too much weight on what has happened and not enough on what is happening..!

...will a lot of people will get this wrong?
...price moves more the more people get this wrong...
Is the argument against a lagging argument, looking at what has happened not what is happening..!

The Rainman, "Bet one for bad, Two for good"

l think there has been a significant change, it is not just the Green Travel list countries that count, but also the Amber LIst countries as fully-vaccinated adults do not have to quarantine..

"Most countries are on the amber list - Fully-Vaccinated adults Do Not have to quarantine on their return from these locations, but do have to have tests before returning and two days after they get back."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58379063

“….what about BA arrivals - don’t they count ?"

Yesterday there were further flights past six o’clock.. an additional 23 departures and 23 cancellations
Sunday results including all the departures from that airport were:

29th Aug 2021 - Sunday
LHR Departures
201 flights vs 141 cancelled

l use a sample size so we can start spotting any trends, it does not include arrivals or any other airports, If l did l would expect to see the same trends as in this set of numbers...
...now we have some real data and we can start analyzing it:

Departures to date, Daily Tally:

164, ***,161, 173, 181, 174, 178,
or logarithmically:
161, ***, ***, 164, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, ***, 173, 174, ***, ***, ***, 178, ***, ***, 181

Already there appears an obvious trend upwards...
...at least we can agree the use of a trend in our analysis..

Counting aeroplanes:

Falling SP with growing Revenue that does not at up, the was 178 Departures from LHR today 29th, sample size, between 6am and 6pm, one airport, one direction traffic out...

29th Aug 2021 - Sunday
LHR Departures
178 flights vs 118 cancelled

28th Aug 2021 - Saturday
LHR Departures
174 flights vs 107 cancelled

27th Aug 2021 - Friday
LHR Departures
181 flights vs 113 cancelled

26th Aug 2021 - Thursday
LHR Departures
173 flights vs 113 cancelled

25th Aug 2021 - Wednesday
LHR Departures
161 flights vs 113 cancelled

l would imagine cancelled flights would be equal running routes more economically and the potential of financial recovery/stability..

the competition are gearing up on fresh exceptions…

Virgin Australia to add 9 planes to fleet ahead of expected travel rebound
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/virgin-australia-add-9-planes-fleet-ahead-expected-travel-rebound-2021-08-27/

“Change happens when the pain of staying the same is greater than the pain of change.”
— Tony Robbins

The balance of news certainly seems to be favourable…

“Italy to eliminate COVID-19 quarantine for vaccinated and negative UK travellers”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/italy-eliminate-covid-19-quarantine-vaccinated-negative-uk-travellers-2021-08-28/

“Change happens when the pain of staying the same is greater than the pain of change.”
— Tony Robbins

Now that is nice juicy headline..

“The 'billion-dollar air route' is bouncing back”
https://edition.cnn.com/travel/article/pandemic-travel-news-denmark-hawaii-iceland/index.html

“Change happens when the pain of staying the same is greater than the pain of change.”
— Tony Robbins

Fundamental investing is using historic 6 months data, Revenue is a voting system, if no one like your product then you will see it in Revenue, do you watch for trends in such data? ..then you have your fancy PE Ratio and the Operating Cash Flow per Share, is that any different to measuring a retracement..?
l don't understand your other ramblings, coefficients in the computer algorithms or something, machine learning, you getting off context now... there are a lot of people here who like to say 'boo' to people... now that is not really trading either, maybe you should pick on them..!!

Have a good weekend, Counting Aeroplanes later x

think of it as a voting system if you like.. that might help..!

Price could be seen as the collective consciousness of the market participants..
a chart is raw price data described visually...
counting aeroplane is raw data
..Please note this is a factual chart of price weeks price action and is open to interpretation...

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E94RZGjXIAM87Gk?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

Hi Teddy, l understand what you are saying and l will try to remember that, at this level you are buying risk, the metric won't add up.. the risk is that the metrics can start turning around and will draw in different types of players... for me the lead indicator is Revenue, l am not trying to put a price on value or potential value, but l will take a general point of view and l will look closely technically...

...l cannot see Fridays 20th low being broken as it represents the pull back before the breakout on 18th Feb and price has come back to this point to test it.. price has attempted its first challenge on the downtrend since Friday's 20th low, gapping up every day on the way to test, l don't think it is private investors that can make this happen and might mean confidence.. Price looks unwilling to test lower than 160p the last two days with new support form Mondays low and a second challenge on the downtrend looks likely...
...This Tuesday, the first day of trading will draw the downtrend to something manageable 167.44p and Friday 164.73p...the weekly bar looks slightly more favourable to the upside
...beyond this, it is idle speculation from both sides of the field..

Breaking news yesterday 3pm from Reuters:
"Unvaccinated citizens of the United States will face a quarantine and testing”
that is good news to upside making airports and flying safer and might align views of transatlantic flight..
but who knows...

The balance of the revenue is to the upside, the balance of the news is to the upside, good news will move the price more to the upside now than bad news to the downside, but bad news will always shock the market unpredictability...

..l am going to keep counting the aeroplanes from my sample size, then at least we can have a bit of data..!

Counting aeroplanes:

Falling SP with growing Revenue that does not at up, the was 181 Departures from LHR today 27th between 6am and 6pm, one airport, one direction traffic out...

27th Aug 2021 - Friday
LHR Departures
181 flights vs 113 cancelled

26th Aug 2021 - Thursday
LHR Departures
173 flights vs 113 cancelled

25th Aug 2021 - Wednesday
LHR Departures
161 flights vs 113 cancelled

l would imagine cancelled flights would be equal running routes more economically and the potential of financial recovery/stability..

When the shorts want to get out the door is only so big, they cannot all get out at the same time..!!