RE: Trading update30 Jan 2024 11:47
In light of the lack of substantial orders, it is entirely possible that the BOD is now working towards a funding raise. Any fundraise involving service shares will likely be pre-sold into the market, potentially leading to a significant decline in the sp but benefiting those involved. Unfortunately, in such scenarios,PI's generally lose out. This is a common concern when fundraising activities have a dilutive effect on existing shareholders, impacting the share price negatively.
So repeating my post made about a week ago.
The company's recent announcement in mid-December about a £553k contract appears to be the most significant development in terms of contracts. Although there might be news about smaller contracts in the tens of thousands, the lack of updates on substantial contracts raises concerns.
The £553k contract is set to finish in April, and the company's financial rearrangement indicates a monthly burn rate,p.a. of £300,000 from the £3.5 million CIH announced in early November.
The company completed the reset of its fixed cost base to £3.5 million per annum by September 2023, aiming to reach break even within two years from August/September 23. This plan allows for an average cash burn of £1.75 million per annum over two years.
The BOD expects to secure additional business contracts totaling around £3.5 million by August/September '24. Falling short of this target could result in a significant shortfall in available funds, when set against cash burn,increasing the likelihood of another fundraise in the near future.
Given the company's dismal fiscal track record and perceived arrogance towards private shareholders, indicates that any future fundraising efforts may come at a serious discount,circa 30% to the existing sp.,
Best to consider these factors and assess the company's ability to secure additional contracts within the specified timeframe before risking an investment.