RE: Target price upgrade…..13 Apr 2026 16:01
15.21
Siggins, when you step back and look at the matter dispassionately, stick to facts and issues and sensible interpretation you actually make sense. Just cut out the personal barbs!
As you rightly point out, few , if any, company will be considered to have pure and unblemished assets and attributes. And in reviewing them one must consider everything. After dispassionately considering all matters in a full risk analysis there will be issues that an acquirer my able to live with, re-model or develop a new strategy to obviate. Others are so fundamental as to be deal breakers. I would consider the ability of an oil producers not to be able to get the stuff to the surface and therefore to market would fall into the latter category. Therefore talk of potential future values and SPs is wholly premature until you've solved that one. The way in which the Oak Securities report is structured talks about all of the jam tomorrow before addressing the engineering issue of extracting the oil from the rocks and getting it to flow to the surface - the elephant in the room.
In negotiations will Spencer major on the elephant? Of course he won't. Will the person sitting opposite? You can bet your life on it!
You say, "i have no idea if pantheon will succeed or not and maybe obstacles that they face may never be over come". I totally agree. You can't ignore the obstacles - it would be foolhardy in the extreme.
You say, "clearly the share price reflects that things have not gone the way the company would have liked, but does that mean the end?who knows,i dont." I don't either, but if they can't get the stuff to the surface at a commercially viable cost, I'd say it was fundamental to their chances of success in creating value. Wouldn't you?
You say, "they are engineers.they are there to try and solve issues". We agree that issues remain and the report from Oak Securities finally acknowledges it.
Good luck.