RE: Buybacks3 Sep 2025 18:12
Https://s204.q4cdn.com/980191062/files/doc_downloads/2025/08/20250827-2025_26-Q2-trading-statement_Aide-memoire_vF.pdf
FY26 GUIDANCE:
• Anticipate LFL revenues will be below FY25
• Acquisitions made during FY25 to add c.10% to total sales in FY26
o A full year of Hibbett and Courir, adding just over £1bn of revenue at a c.6.5% margin(1)
• New space impact (net) on total sales of c.4%. Anticipate c.150 new stores, c.100 conversions/relocations,
and c.50 closures (mainly in Eastern Europe) in FY26
• Additional opex in FY26 of £50m+, outside of normal inflationary increases, including: (i) UK labour costs,
and (ii) a higher proportion of technology investments falling into opex as opposed to capex
• Partially offsetting these increases will be:
o Cost savings and efficiencies across our key markets in FY26 of c.£30m
o Integration synergies in the US following the Hibbett acquisition – half-to-two thirds of c.US$25m
annualised savings expected in FY26, weighted to H2
• We expect to be in line with current market expectations(2,3) for FY26 profit before tax and adjusting items
(PBTAI), albeit we continue to assess any potential indirect impacts from US tariffs
• Capex of c.£450m to £500m
• Share buybacks of £200m, including the new £100m programme announced today (on 27 August 2025)
•
PROFIT PHASING H1/H2:
• Historically, we have generated more of our profits in H2, owing to seasonality within the business. In FY26,
H2 is likely to represent c.60% of our PBTAI, including the impact of:
o An expected mark-to-market (non-cash) net charge of c.£14m in H1, mainly related to the revaluation
of open FX hedging contracts as of 2 August 2025
o The expected benefit in H2 from US (Hibbett) synergies starting to come through
•
FX TRANSLATIONAL IMPACT:
• A one US cent move impacts FY PBTAI by c.£3m and a one Euro cent move impacts PBTAI by c.£2m
•
IMPACT OF US TARIFFS:
• FY26 PBTAI guidance, to date, has been given excluding any potential impacts from US tariffs
• US tariffs have the potential to impact our business in three areas:
o Our own brand and licensed products and goods not for resale (stock fixtures, gondolas, etc.).
Represents less than 10% of our US revenue and we have already taken action to diversify our
sourcing, mostly around Egypt. Potential direct impact: less than US$10m (annualised)
o Brand partners. Potential indirect impact being monitored
o Macro impact on the economy and the consumer. Potential indirect impact being monitored
•
GENESIS:
• During H1, we agreed to defer the buyout of the Mersho family’s 20% non-controlling interest in Genesis, the
parent company of our North American business, to two tranches of 10% each in 2029 (FY30) and 2030
(FY31), subject to a £1.5bn cap
•
•
• In our ‘adjusting items’ (i.e., exceptional items), we have a line item called ‘movement in present value of put
& call options’
. This is a non-cash reva