RE: Tuesday news6 Dec 2020 00:36
Hi Eva,
Thanks for correcting your AIM comment.
You should do what you need to. You hold a nice pile, similar to many others here, and I remember you’ve popped in and out of this before.
I’m not going to criticise or suggest you do anything other than what you are comfortable with; it’s your strategy, your money, your decision.
I’ll repeat, however, what I’ve said a tonne of times beforehand, and that patience is required with this share. It’s not a producer. It’s an explorer. It comes with significant risk; risk manifested from uncertainty in results and subsequent perceptions of said results. It’s at the whim of investors and their interpretations of said results, coupled to the micro-economic desires attaching to said investors.
Cobra’s unknowns are more than it’s knowns, thus investor uncertainty is exacerbated in a news vacuum and can lead to investors losing heart, patience and faith, just as you have indicated. It’s a natural reaction.
For the record, I’ve not really made any significant gains in cobra since my first best early tranche at 1.56!!! I’ve averaged up and down all the way to a 20% gain overall. I’m in no hurry. My retirement at 55 coincides with cobra’s timescale, so I’ll sit this out for 4 more years before I begin to get an itchy bum. But that’s me.
But why? Well....
1. It’s main market
2. It listed with the help of MNRG, whose NED at the time was Gervaise Heddle (Ggp) - immaterial really, or not?
3. It’s got a small share register of large holders, meaning it’s well below radar.
4. It’s got 50% Of 211,000 ozs and growing, both resource and likely proportional stake
5. It’s in a friendly jurisdiction
6. It’s testing pathfinder and is based on good science (albeit yet to be proven) but this could become the norm.
7. Newcrest own royalties on this, so there’s a direct line
8. We are fully funded for next year with further warrants to top up
9. The warrants are only triggered at circa 60% premium to where we are now priced.
10. The NED options are triggered north of 3 pence
11. Sorry, I forgot to mention we have four IOCG targets, after all, I’ve hardly mentioned the gold.
12. Why would a company list main market, at additional costs, additional DD, just to raise a few million quid? It would be so much easier (and normal) to just go ASX or AIM and rinse and repeat for ten years and plod through their drill campaign with a pipe dream.
13. MNRG are still holding some shares, albeit below 3%
14. I’m waiting for more data. I’m not making any decisions without further data. How can I make an informed decision without it? Preemptive movements on my part would be like me jumping off a cliff not knowing if the tide was out or not.
These are some of my thoughts, having been woken up to go collect the other half and her buddy, from Poole train station after they’ve had a day at the Ginstitute in Portabello Road. Now I’m wide awake having listened to a Gin-head!
I revert to my earlier point, however. Yo