re TW25 Oct 2018 10:12
The Dow has been barrelling higher while the rest of the world was falling away over the last couple of months. I suppose it was just a matter of time before investors started to feel a bit lonely and anxious looking over the shoulder at the damage Trump and Powell had caused to the rest of the world's economies and sentiment. Institutions and hedge funds have had a miserable year and desperate for a decent correction to reset the clock. I have heard suggestions that the VIX hitting 25 might spell the turning point, which as matter of fact, has just dome so overnight. Manipulating the VIX appears to have done the trick in triggering the sell off we have just witnessed this month. Earnings have on the whole been good so while undoubtedly there is some nervousness about next year's trends given the tariff wars and its impact on the Chinese economy, perhaps after the mid terms Trump will lessen the chest beating and take stock of the impact of his policies on the US economy and get more serious about some trade talks. Its interesting to see TW hold out here. It might just be that those who have been working it lower since May, feel they have made enough for now and are prepared to let it recover ahead of the next trading update, before having another crack in the new year.