RE: Trump et al = Prize W*nk*rs4 Apr 2025 11:10
One thing Trump has is huge b@lls....
$9.2 trillion in debt needs refinanced in 2025.
1 basis point drop in 10 year bonds equals 500billion saving over 10 years.
Spook the market, everyone runs to T-Bills, reducing the rate, all deliberate.
Debt is still too large, so get Elon/doge in to cut costs in government, saving 1 trillion by end of 2025.
Tariffs make US imports more expensive, so US production will step up to fill the gap.
US factories can’t be built overnight, so tax cuts are floated to keep the US people onside.
Dollar devalues, which make imports cheaper, and tariffs bring in extra income to offset the losses.
For other countries, deals must be made very quickly with the US, otherwise it's even more pain. You can't outdo the US, they hold al the cards and will punish you even more.
In US, steel, autos and textiles will win, tech retail and construction will lose
If it works, success:
Debt under control
US Manufacturing rises
Global leverage restored
Trumpism wins.
The risk is inflation exploding again, Fed would then have to raise rates.
18 months to find out if the gamble pays off, if it doesn't it's game over for Maga and an ominshambles for everyone.