RE: Fantastic news on the way4 Apr 2025 08:24
- Short-term (post-announcement): A successful farm-out could trigger a sharp rally, potentially pushing the share price to 1.00p–3.00p, reflecting a 10x–30x increase from current levels. This aligns with speculative small-cap oil and gas stock behaviour following positive news, especially if the partner is a major player and the deal includes cash payments or a significant carry on drilling costs.
- Medium-term (6–12 months): If the farm-out leads to a drilling program and early indications of success, the price could stabilize or grow further to 5.00p–10.00p, assuming positive momentum and no major setbacks elsewhere (e.g., Egypt asset sales or UK operations). This would still be far below historical highs (6.50p in 2018) but reflects a realistic re-rating for a frontier asset.
- Long-term (beyond 12 months): Should drilling confirm a commercial discovery, the upside could be substantial, potentially reaching or exceeding the analyst targets of 23p+, though this is highly speculative and depends on resource size, oil prices, and UOG’s retained interest.