Member Info for Bucolic

stockinvestor, see below. Don't shoot the messenger for the cialis comparison. BTW, you ought to lay off the steroids. That's probably what's giving you the ED and the attitude.

Hi b3ar1sh, here's an extract from the rns dated 28 October:
The Company is pleased to confirm that following its third pre-submission meeting with FDA, there was preliminary agreement on the design and scope of this small supplementary study, known as "FM71" subject to the issue of the final meeting minutes. The final study protocol can only be completed once the FDA minutes have been received. However, based on the pre-submission discussions FM71 is expected to be a comparative, randomised, open label, home use, parallel group study in approximately 100 patients with erectile dysfunction. Approximately 20 subjects will be located in the United States to provide reassurance that data generated outside the US is comparable to the US population. As an open-label design the study will be neither placebo controlled nor double-blinded, the study's primary endpoint will be to compare MED3000 against a pre-treatment baseline for efficacy for up to six months. The lowest "on demand" dose of tadalafil, 5mg (Cialis) will also be measured against pre-treatment baseline to enable the FDA to compare an overall risk/benefit analysis of the two treatments for the 6 month period of the study looking at efficacy, speed of onset and safety. 50 patients with ED will be included in each treatment arm of the study.

NicName, although MED3000 wasn't the trial subject, it was in the trial as the placebo vs MED2005, and the reason MED2005 failed was because the results of MED3000 were so good, and there was insufficient efficacy over the placebo. So I think it's safe to say that MED3000 was good enough. It certainly sunk MED2005, let's hope it does the same with cialis!
All of this is just my version of events as seen through my layman's eyes, in fact I've been waiting for ody to chime in with his version (which will no doubt include the assertion that it was a vehicle and not a placebo!)
Anyhow, I'm sticking, although I can't say I'm enthralled by the news that China is getting its sticky fingers all over our investment, however much money it might earn us.

Mat, I certainly hope you're proved right too, however you're still painting too bright a picture. Whilst there's only a tiny (1/1000) chance that the results were a fluke, the actual topline results were that only 60% of people found MED3000 efficaceous. Good enough to pass a trial, had MED3000 been the subject, but will it beat cialis in a head to head contest? Cialis, incidentally, also showed a p-value of <0.001 in trials.

On the other hand, your chance of winning the lotto is one in 45,000,000, and yet people still win it! And don't forget that MED3000 has never been the subject of a trial to date. The FDA want to trial it against cialis, which has proven efficacy, so there absolutely SHOULD be doubt in everyone's mind about the efficacy of MED3000. Don't bet the farm on this, folks, and ignore "advice" like Matulaak's. On the other hand, we hope for the best. GLA !

If there's one thing I've learnt from FUM, it's that whenever there's a big rise, it's immediately followed by a fall, and vice versa, except when they fail P3, obvs! Doesn't take prescience or anything else to make a stab in the dark. The SP will be up tomorrow, I predict.

Ah, Formul, you must think we have very short memories. New on this board? I don't think so! I remember you were extremely busy ramping this share just after the P3 cliff edge, and have frequently kept us up to date with news of your topping up every time the SP dips. Perhaps you just made a mistake and thought you were posting on a different board - the title of your post suggests that to be the case.
Your ever watchful,
bubonic x

Haha, vol! As we've discussed before, I don't filter anyone. Mainly, as you say, to present a counter argument (well, not exactly what you said!) but also I have this FOMO. Someone like Andy Pandy or hawknose will make a ridiculous comment, everyone will start talking about it, and I won't know what was said! Besides, they might be talking about me lol! I really don't know how you operate with all your green boxes hiding most of the conversations - I couldn't do it.
Speaking of Ananda, I remember at least a year ago he mentioned the massive potential market for MED in China, whereas hawknose and others have consistently predicted the downfall of FUM. So who is the winner in the prediction stakes?

You respect me?!!! I was trying to be your nemesis! Clearly wasn't trying hard enough!

"One of the ways of inflating the price of a security is by placing an equal number of buy and sell orders for the same security simultaneously, but by using different brokers. Thus, the orders cancel each other out.
The large volume of orders executed gives an investor the impression that there is an increased interest in the security. This convinces them of the possibility of future price appreciation, then they buy that security, which ultimately ends up pushing the actual stock price higher."
I think that pretty much defines what we saw last week, doesn't it? Baldy is demanding proof. If that was easily available then someone would be in serious trouble.

We know three facts at the moment. 1. twice during the week loads of shares changed hands after hours. 2. The SP increased hugely. 3. FUM are running out of cash.
Put those together and one might imagine that the market had been manipulated to boost the SP ready for a fund raise in the coming week. I know I'm not the sharpest knife in the drawer and my knowledge of stock market procedures and machinations is woefully inadequate, so I'd be more than happy to hear your opinions on my musings.

Thanks for your honesty, ody. I was being genuine, stop worrying so much! See you on Fantasy Island - we'll have a pina colada together!

Ody, we agree on something then! May I ask you a question? In the past we've joshed about you missing the boat and so on, but how are you feeling about it now? You always bring your analytical mind to this, and I'm wondering how you see this playing out now. You were convinced there's be a general slide down to 10p without news, when you would buy in, but instead we're at twice that with no news. What next for FUM and ody?

Monty, if it does reach those heady heights I expect I will have bailed by then! Although thinking about it I would actually leave some skin in the game, just so I can keep up with the fun and games that is part of being in the FUM/LSE family!

If I had to choose one of those options, then it would be 5, but I also think that 1 is a contender because we've seen these rises before off the back of an empty RNS. Can't see it being 4 because we already know there's going to be a 6 month trial, and finding out the rules for it is pretty unexciting. I also can't see EU approval coming out just like that. Whatever it is, I hope people don't suddenly start betting the farm on it, it's still a flippin' risky investment!

Volatility, IIRC the SP dipped slightly just before the P3 failure was announced so I wouldn't guarantee FUM to be watertight. Only a few points, mind, so could have been coincidence. Confidence was sky high at the time though.

Anyone who thinks this is the worst board has obviously not looked at ADVFN. At least this board has the occasional nugget. Anyway, in the total vacuum of information coming from FUM, and also the unchanging landscape of the potential market, what more information have you come here looking for? Everything to be said about FUM has been said, so we're mainly here for entertainment and chat with like minded people.

Well well well. The derampers both here and in the Other Place were assuring us that FUM would just about implode today. Anyone take the advice to cut and run? No, thought not. We listened to The.Italian who called it right as usual. "Wait and see". Should be the motto for LTHs! Nobody gets their predictions right on this one, which is the main reason I stay invested - it's fun! Eatmyshorts must be choking on them right about now, and ody's desperately looking out to sea! Next stop Fantasy Island!

The thing is, hawknose, we've seen it all before, and heard all the dire warnings before. And yet here we still are. Do you honestly think all the LTHs are going to sell up because you repeat the same old tune? Whilst there's still life in the old dog, and the promises keep coming, we'll hold on in the hope that we turn the corner. I can't see Lombard calling it a day, they're in too deep, and will see it out to a conclusion. As you don't have any skin in the game, why do you keep going? Why not stick to advfn with like minded company? And stop with the self-recommenadations will you? It's so obvious you have multiple accounts.

Worst advice ever - if the SP finishes down today, then sell.

VERY VERY STRONG SMELL!