RE: Cameco26 Apr 2019 16:45
There's some information on the 232 petition and the Uranium market in today's YCA Quarterly Report which may be of interest:
"While trading volumes during the first quarter of 2019 remained above those experienced during the first quarter of 2018, aggressive sellers entered the spot market in mid-March offering progressively lower offer prices in order to complete transactions prior to quarter end.
UxC reported total quarterly spot market volumes at 18.4 million lbs U3O8, up by one-third from the comparable period in 2018, when 13.8 million lbs U3O8 were transacted. Uranium producers and trading entities were the identified buyers, while nuclear utilities reduced their near-term purchasing programs due to ongoing market uncertainty stemming primarily from the Section 232 investigation in the United States.
Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 authorises the U.S. Secretary of Commerce to "conduct comprehensive investigations to determine the effects of any article on the national security of the United States." In response to a formal petition filed by two U.S. uranium producers, the U.S. Department of Commerce (USDOC) initiated an investigation in July 2018 to assess the impacts of the importation of foreign-source uranium.
The USDOC submitted its report and recommendations to the Trump Administration on 15th April 2019. The White House has 90 days to respond to the report and either take "no action" or take its own course of action which could take the form of tariffs or quotas.
The uncertainties surrounding the potential outcome of the Section 232 investigation have caused U.S. nuclear utilities to moderate their uranium purchasing programmes until completion of the 232 process, which may not conclude before mid-July.
Looking ahead to the second calendar quarter of 2019, spot market activity is expected to be determined, in part, by the status of the 232 investigation and the form and timing of the White House response. However, there remains a general expectation that prices will have an upside bias as utilities make discretionary purchases and, importantly, financial buyers look to re-engage the market."
http://www.lse.co.uk/share-regulatory-news.asp?shareprice=YCA&ArticleCode=zw4tz2bd&ArticleHeadline=Quarterly_Operating_Update