SP and the Future13 Jan 2020 22:54
Well, as a lth, I can certainly understand the anger felt by many of my fellow travellers over many long years.
Nonetheless, I also fully understand that events have moved so significantly in recent days and the opportunities that many new investors see are simply part and parcel of our free and, often less than perfect, financial markets. I have absolutely no problem with them enthusing about all the upside etc.
However, even in the short time since Orm raised their white flag, the SP hasn't quite performed as many thought (or had hoped). Sure, some might say that there are still substantial sellers eg M & G but I think some doubt must remain on whether Oaktree's offer will proceed to settlement. Its open to debate in any case, but for one thing, the Market has not (yet) priced this in as a 'given'.
Also, what is the way ahead assuming a settlement with Oaktree is achieved, given Orm who had focused entirely on Barruecopardo, and had openly scorned their other assets prospects. On this, we have no clues (albeit an RNS outlining such plans as some are promising would be very welcome), but history suggests that this hope is a pipedream.
And also, what do we make of the Management team who got their much trumpeted world class opportunity so spectacularly wrong. Can they be trusted with €6m and the opportunities they will have to analyse?
Finally, the precise nature of the 'offer' (from Oaktree) appears vague enough to suggest there is no guarantee shareholders will see any of these monies. Meantime, do we know the monthly cash burn Oaktree currently even assuming the BoD aren't going to line their own pockets?
These and, no doubt, other points underline why many investors may still harbour reservations about jumping in with their tuppence worth here.
For the absence of doubt, I would be delighted to see the SP advance and while I will never recoup my losses here, every little helps as they say. But the harsh world of reality awaits the unwary here.
GLA whoever you may be.
B