RE: Crap18 Mar 2021 17:55
lots of caveats and also context.
"DaveW: There will be more dilution of some form because you either have to fund it by raising equity or selling part of the project which is also dilution. So - like I've kind of been belabouring the point - but it’s all about who’s most accretive for shareholders, and what’s the oil price - how much does the share price go up, if we get 100-150 barrels in this well, and how much the flow rate is in the next well - whether we can continue to fund organically in an accretive way.
So - it does really depend. And it also depends whether - say the oil price pops to $80 next year, and we’ve drilled this well and we’ve identified some conventional prospectivity - and Otto’s drilled two successes - and someone comes in and makes us an offer we can’t refuse - there’ll be zero dilution - we’ll be gone!
And it would make sense for us to take something. Say it was 50p or 60p but we're now giving all the risk to someone else, and we can achieve that in 9 months rather than trying to hang on for longer to get a higher target. There’s a whole bunch of things to consider.
http://88ewiki.wikidot.com/presentations:09092016-london-transcript
As we know the HRZ did not play ball, Paul passed away prematurely and very importantly the SOA exploration tax credits scheme was withdrawn when the oil price collapsed, do not underestimate the impact that latter factor had on future exploration and even seismic capabilities + interest payments.