RE: Finance6 Jun 2024 10:29
Elections are a red herring BOTS - all your chatrooms ignore you!
No matter what constitution is in power , it is guaranteed they will want TLOU to succeed in their mission to deliver CBM based electricity. Politics wasted a couple of years during the RFP RFQ period , but hopefully that process stopped any more typo errors surfacing thereafter!
The original RFP may well have been drawn up for KE in their attempt to extract gas at Selemo.
They clearly gave up on that for some of the reasons TLOU have found it a slow process compared to the theory!
At the outset , 2 or 3 years was enough to dewater , and it could be a matter of a few months given a following wind!
I have never known how long KE spent trying to dewater Selemo , if indeed they got that far!
In the Kalahari desert my money would be on months rather than years - but my presence guaranteed it would be years!
We know TLOU drilled Selemo after taking it over and had to abandon drilling gear that got stuck in the terrain.
Was the choice of Selemo wrong? Whether it was or not , TLOU got gas flowing in a matter of months and KE must have been kickig themselves ever since!!! Royalty payments discouraged TLOU from expanding Selemo but Selemo was a diamond because the concept of producing electricty was proven , and not selling either the gas or the electricity my have circumvented royalty payments. Has anyone ever seen royalty paymnts in the accounts?
Moving to Lesedi , we saw a repeat of the KE experience , and without Selemo , it is conceivable TLOU would have backed off like KE did! Dewatering has gone forever and THAT IS THE CRITICAL factor in all of this.
The timing or lack of timing led us into the Cvid and Lockdown period , and challenged the company to survive financially. Until dewatering is behind us any placings or loans will be tricky!!! We all have a lot of skin in this compay , and we are ensuring outr internal organs are limited to our hearts! Our hearts tell us TG is on the verge of completing the TX line, then the company can throw the kitchen sink and drain at dewatering at #6 and #4 because we'll be able to make use of all the gas that results.
The Govt, the shareholders, the directors, the engineers are all in suspense but it is in our hands! The tx lines and generators are expected this year. I don't see politicians in that frame at all. The incumbent Govt will be joining us in hoping TLOU achieve their agenda in 2024 - and what a start it will be for the GOVT! In power for 10 minutes and TLOU go live!
As long as it is not Ian Karma with a few thousand lazy war mongers behind him , we'll be OK.
And if Bots are lazy are la aren'nt we lucky that Natural Gas just needs to be unlocked and it will flow with labour intensive extractions like the old coal industry! But with diamonds and gold losing all their value in Botswana (and nohere else) and BPC not paying for profitable power - I fear for BOTS with his view of the country. S