RE: Going Nowhere11 Feb 2023 11:36
SM - don't row back. Your comments (all of them) last night were bang on the money. Get another case of your favourite red ordered in I say!
Add - respect all your views but not sure I can agree with them on this occasion. The way you end your post is a good barometer for what you and indeed a lot of us are feeling at the moment... hope.
I for one don't ever remember the strategy of the company being to make a discovery at Cascabel and sell it on as quickly as possible. That was the CGP strategy but it wasn't SolGold's. As soon as it became apparent what we were on to the conversation shifted to development, CGP contributing their share of the costs incurred, etc.
If you think back, there was no desire just to market the asset. It became about finding the next and the next in the cluster in Aguinaga, Moran, Tandayama, etc.
This was all off the back of the company moving out of Solomon Islands given operational challenges at the company's projects there.
The story was all about making a find in Ecuador and riding it as long as was necessary. It shouldn't therefore have come as a surprise when Ecuador got big ideas about widescale overseas investment, opening their cadastre up further and SolGold were one of the company's to take part, leveraging their early environmental, social and governance efforts.
Where this went wrong IMO, was with the PEA and flawed first draft PFS. Mather was too aggressive and went unchecked until the 11th hour when Keith Marshall applied the brakes. By that point, we'd seen a rocky 24 months and LTHs started losing faith in the company's ability to get this progressed.
Had Mather restructured the organisation after the second Alpala resource estimate and brought in a team with the required knowledge and experience of studies then I'm quite sure we'd be into the early stages of construction now, so for me it's not about not believing the production rhetoric but more a case of watching a lack of delegation to suitable hires slow the company's progress considerably.
The way I see it, is that a revaluation should be forthcoming, but it likely won't be seismic. From a 15p level I'd say +/-50% is the likely result in the next 3 months, with another +50% in the offing to the upside if things play out well.
So ultimately a positive SR and we're back to 40-45p and a poor one and it's hello 7.5p.