RE: Calm!12 Dec 2025 14:52
NMM - the diverse book hasn't stood firm.
Rewind back to 2020. Mather got dumped as CEO unceremoniously. PIs strutted about saying "good riddance because we're in for a bidding war now" (paraphrasing).
Jiangxi came on board. So did Osisko via the stream. Canada merged with Aus.
But unfortunately the pig went a couple of years without being fed whilst Sangha took it to every farmers market he could.
Eventually, SOLG realised they were rubbing out of time and we were drifting. Scott steps aside for DV and the project to try and rescue some value begins.
All the while, we, us, we're signposting a lot of these dynamics ahead of time. Others told us we'd wake up to a bid one day equal to the value of the asset. (Where are you Fort?)
The reality is that the company has probably done as much as it can for now. It made a credible plan to reinvigorate market but if it was going to pursue that plan, the value would drop because the buy-backs on part of the streams would expire and any suitor would be tied in to the full deal.
Jiangxi knew this and struck whilst they could. BHP and Newmont don't have the stomach.
So here we are? Mather has egg on his face, Bob has egg on his face. Vujcic and Smith play the roles of the villains but walk away nicely paid for it and will no doubt claim a victory.