RE: A little perspective29 Jul 2022 10:33
Quady - I'm sorry but it's time to read between the lines rather than treating a cobbled together SOLG RNS and the subsequent BSC response as absolute fact.
At the end of the day, you can't solve the problem of you're incapable of working out what it is.
SolGold are running out of cash. We have, at a guess, 3-5 months runway at current burn rates which is based on little more than a care and maintenance schedule.
It is one of the worst kept secrets in the City that a fundraise was attempted.
SolGold confirming that it is now consulting with major shareholders suggests that it is seeking alternative options and that a capital raise has, as is rumoured, failed.
My reading is that we're in fairly major strife here. The ATM is empty and we're unable to just print new shares unless someone else is capable of carrying out a raise on our behalf. That means we're going to have to look at selling off an asset or interest in an asset but our position means any potential buyer has a stronger hand at the negotiating table.
BHP don't need to strike yet. We're about 6 weeks from the real sweet spot and I suspect they know it.
I take no pleasure from this as a shareholder but the coming weeks are likely to be quite perilous. I signposted us a few weeks ago towards the worsening market conditions we're seeing albeit in respect to the financing of Alpala construction but the same absolutely applies to fundraisers for working capital and exploration. You can take the view from BSC that the market has had enough with the treatment of some shareholders over others.
So where do we go from here? I suspect we'll either see a smaller raise on disappointing terms, an asset sale on poor terms or a recommended offer for the company, again on poor terms.
The company's management hasn't shown that it can deliver value for a good couple of years now (since the Porvenir discovery). Hard to see that changing now. We're approaching Hail Mary territory.