RE: Re: Feedback from AGM14 Sep 2023 10:26
For whatever reason, our potential farm-in partner(s) weren't ready to sign off on a deal by H1 as Chariot had expected/hoped for.
Had Chariot signed with a farm-in partner by H1 then they would be due substantial back-costs and I'm not sure if additional funds would have been required to drill Loukos. The timing of that last raise was unfortunate and disappointing for shareholders.
However, the reason for the delay in partnering on Anchois is still somewhat unclear. At the AGM, AP talked about minor stuff causing the delays in partnering i.e. changing project costs, and difficulties with securing certain equipment and supplies which, yes, I suppose could cause some delays, especially with regards to our potential financing partner(s). He certainly gave the impression that this was all that was really holding up the signing of potential partner(s) and that deals are close to being announced.
Which caused me to re-examine why Chariot chose to raise funds for Loukos when they did (putting aside ~ working capital & admin expenses due to delays in partnering).
I initially thought it could be due to more favourable (Anchois) partnering terms if Chariot could prove up a new gas play in Loukos that had read-through to Anchois, but after the AGM, I'm starting to think that it's genuinely because they didn't want to lose the opportunity of acquiring Loukos and the potential that area holds.
Duncan Wallace is very credible and also very confident that Loukos has lots of gas.
Onshore drilling is also dirt cheap.
They got the Loukos licence for free β providing they carry out certain commitments (Credit to their relationshion with ONHYM).
If Loukos has the gas that Duncan thinks it has, then these are the starting economics for Loukos...
Well 1: Gaufrette. 26 bcf
Well cost: $3 Million
Wholesale industrial gas prices in Morocco = $11-$12 mmbtu
Unlocks $300 Million in revenue
Well 2: Eclair. 30 bcf
Well cost: $3 Million
Wholesale industrial gas prices in Morocco = $11-$12 mmbtu
Unlocks $350 Million in revenue
Well 3: Dartois. 13 bcf
Well cost: $3 Million
Wholesale industrial gas prices in Morocco = $11-$12 mmbtu
Unlocks $150 Million in revenue