RE: Cash Runway?18 Oct 2023 13:53
Nickshaw,
I think we may be talking slightly past each other and agree in-part.
It's not about blindly believing the company per se. RNSs do have legal standing as well as legal consequences if proven to be deliberately false.
I have said before that it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that the BoD are lying to us or even stringing us along on half-truths, but if I personally subscribed to or believed that (as some who post on this BB seem to), I would have sold up and moved on by now.
If you look at the event timeline Chariot put out in their investors presentation a couple of years ago, yes, it has shifted slightly, but still they have executed on all but their final few value triggers. History shows that, up to now, management has been true to their word if not their optimistic timeline (small oil & gas E&P companies can rarely, if ever, execute within strictly defined timelines and one should only invest in small E&P companies on the understanding of this).
In terms of the 2022-2025 timeline value triggers they set for themselves and disclosed to the market: They told us they would get Anchois’ resources independently verified, they would complete FEED on Anchois, acquire a new gas resource venture, partner on their Green Hydrogen project – all of which they’ve done.
GSA, Debt Finance and FID left to accomplish in order to get to First Gas. Yes, these are arguably the biggest hurdles of all and one would imagine if/when they come, they would need to come in quick succession of each other as all 3 are dependent on each other. Even on the value trigger timeline they put out in May 2022, they have FID complete end of 2023 and first gas sometime in 2024/25.
So based on the above reasons, I don't have any historical reasons to disbelieve Management when they say they are in the final throws of partnering which could mean 3-4 weeks or 3-4months. But does it really matter if it's a few weeks or a few months?
It's kinda funny when you see the same idiots on here complaining about missed timelines also complain about the company not giving them exact dates on when certain decisions will be made by even though the company is just one party amongst several negociating parties. And they do this without the slightest hint of irony.