RE: Bushy23 Mar 2022 10:22
They'll have options re Dugbe - there'll be plenty of interest in buyers of that project due to its size - including nations *cough* Turkey *cough* - totally disagree about Africa, there's loads of majors digging up Gold down there and over time its proven to be the best bang/buck in the World ..........
I suspect they'll sell it and use the cash to advance Yanfolila underground to raise the overall production and grades there - Dugbe is worth at least 20p on its own based on the PFS numbers with costs as they were back then/$1,800 gold price - both have gone up obviously but it's a decent guesswork number as things stand.
Agree on a simple buyout - Kouroussa is extraordinarily attractive, especially in years 1-3 and they're still finding new Gold there but who knows what that price could be by year-end, I think 40p is very lowball if Gold stays strong.
Difficult to see how Gold falters significantly from here - $1,800 looks a pretty good shout for the next shake/bottom and from there I like c$2.4k within a year, maybe even Q3. Energy costs are obviously the fly in the ointment but that's the same for anyone and HUM have substantial fuel duty discounts to help out with that.
Ultimately, c3.5m oz of Gold reserves (1/4 of Centamin's reserves at grades multiples higher) across three projects is not going to be priced like this for very long - just sit it out and way - it's going to come and we may be in nosebleed territory by this time next year.