Fortune & BMN24 Dec 2020 13:42
My thoughts on BMN after holding for 9 months:
Fortune Mojapelo - Underestimated by the markets.
BMN - Undervalued by markets.
Much is made of the market not getting BMN, not seeing where the real value is. It is said it's unclear whether BMN are a mining company or a green energy company etc, but that isnt the point at all IMO.
Fortune continues to add value to different points of the supply chain... Think about that for a moment, 'different points of the supply chain.' Which other CEO even does that!
It would be all to easy to mine vanadium, process it and sell it to the Chinese. In fact we have been doing that for some years and the SP has reflected this. Despite being a significant supplier/processor to the market, we are conditioned by that market rates and not as strong as it is possible to be.
That is where genius FM comes in. I believe that he and BMN are not only supplying the market but also in the process of creating the market. If he pulls this off, then this is going to another galaxy, never mind the moon!
The foresight to back and invest in IES. Rental agreements that give customers the best opportunity of selling vanadium products ( two examples of creating a market).
Then there is the contracts we are waiting to here of. The $65 million dollar investment to upgrade production. Don't be fooled, that extra vanadium will not just go into the market and sold at market rates. It will be sold into the markets created by FM and BMN.
Creating a market increases demand...
If FM is as smart as I think he is, then that vanadium will be used for our own VRFB's, mini grids, to service our contracts with States and Countries. Wouldn't it be marvellous to not be at the behest of the Chinese. Sure, they will get supplied but the mates rates will have to get the elbow.
I may not be right on all these points but this is the general direction we are headed.
The current SP increase is pretty much down to the increasing demand for vanadium, it doesnt even factor in the plans that FM already has underway.
The penny will drop for the markets into Q1 & Q2 of 2021 IMO.
Merry Christmas and stay safe.