Malcy's take on today's deal13 Jan 2025 15:56
Even though Malcy is known for being bullish his take today is ultra bullish.
"So, the Eco deal with Africa Oil has completed and with it Eco swaps out a 1% stake in Block 3B/4B offshore South Africa to Africa Oil in return for its 16% in Eco which will now be cancelled. Eco remains with a still meaningful 5.25% in the play which is amongst the hottest in the area and which Total will be drilling this year.
I understand that Total is extremely bullish about the area and it is very high on its list of prospects worldwide and hence why it is imminent, the drilling programme is bristling with potential excitement and opportunity to move fast upon success.
Eco are poised, with the removal from their shareholder register of Africa Oil’s 16% and thus cancelled, to create uber value in its equity. To me it looks like a very smart, elegant and substantial buy-back and what is more the entire market cap is now the interest in 3B/4B, plus a massively exciting portfolio elsewhere which has huge upside and now has created much more value for shareholders after the share reduction.
As part of this deal Africa Oil lose their appointee to the Eco board and he is replaced by Emily Ferguson who is somewhat of a legend in the E&P industry. Recently with TotalEnergies she has what seems like a passionate following in particular some key leadership roles and has stood out as a mentor, leader and communicator, I’m sure she will be a great addition to the Eco board.
Eco will undoubtedly remain in the upcoming bucket List but I need to do some work on the Target Price which could and should be a very big number, this deal nails on value for shareholders, keeps Eco in possibly the best post code in the world right now and don’t forget its acreage in Block 1 in South Africa, Namibia and at Orinduik, indeed much excitement to come for Eco shareholders."