£29 a share price target for Zoetic31 Jan 2021 20:41
Like Fevertree, Zoetic has a niche market high margin product, and also like Fevertree has under 200 million shares in issue, most of which are well known to be in very “sticky hands”. Free float shares are limited, and the price can move up quickly.
With a landmark transformational agreement now signed to supply the Chill brand products to 88,000 stores through the Asian American Trade Association’s high-footfall network of stores, and extremely conservatively allowing for around sales net to Zoetic of $20 day once the roll out is complete, the numbers start to become very exciting:
$20 per store x 365 days x 88,000 stores = $642 Million
Conservatively rounding the sales numbers down to $400 million to allow for all other costs and risk, we generate earnings per share of $2:
$400,000,000 / 196,000,000 shares in issue = EPS $2.04
According to the fundamentals listed on LSE Fevertree trades on a P/E ratio of 48.
If valuing Zoetic on a very conservative PE ratio of 20, this makes for a share price of $40.80 (20x EPS of $2.04).
Assuming the company chooses to use its cash for future growth prospects rather than rewarding shareholders with dividends, in Sterling at today’s rate, this equates to a share price of £29.77.
These figures cover just ONE USA retail network!
The above valuation excludes online sales, seed sales, value and licensing of patents and IP for their isolate extraction techniques, and other exciting products outside the Chill range.
Zoetic have informed the market a deal is in the works for the UK, as well as the company planning expansion into Europe.
There is huge upside potential beyond the above cautious valuation calculations.
Furthermore, as far as the market is concerned all financial forecasting suggests the CBD market is set to continue to explode, and we know there are future products planned in other sectors of the market (such as the growing anti ageing sector, again mentioned by the CEO).
It isn’t often an opportunity as good as this is offered to the open market - I’ve not seen many in my lifetime at least.
My price target over time for this share is £29 and I expect to revise that target upwards as more news updates are released to the market in the coming months.
I missed out on the explosive growth enjoyed by those investors with good foresight who bought into Fevertree during the early stages, and there is no way I am missing out this time.