UK GDP.12 Jun 2024 10:06
"Tom Pugh, the chief economist at audit, tax and consulting firm RSM UK, suggests the drop in growth in April is “a bump on the upward path”, rather than a return to stagnation.
Pugh explains:
Overall, today’s data reinforces our view that Q4 last year will represent the nadir of a particularly painful period of stagnation for the UK economy.
But Q1 represented a turning point.
The weakness in April is just a small bump in the road. Interest rate cuts are likely to come in the summer, growth should continue in the first half of this year, and pick up further after the summer and into 2025. Indeed, we’re expecting growth to average 0.3% q/q over the next year, a much stronger performance than the last five."