RE: Warrants5 Jun 2023 22:01
Ma, you rationale for buying XTR is just basically flawed. The cash you refer to, and indeed any other cash from similar earning streams in the near future will not be paid out to shareholders. So no direct value there for equity ownership. The market cap is instead just, effectively, the average expectation of a future significant payout as a result of BR sale. So for example, investors believe BR could be sold for somewhere between £100m and, say, £300m and apply a probability of that happening of somewhere between 3% and 10%. The low probability is based on lack of news, missed deadlines, lower than expected reported copper tonnage, etc etc. Cash from African business only helps by giving comfort that the company can continue drilling in Australia, without dilution or enabling a similar jackpot result from another speculative purchase by Colin. That’s it. So yes RNS confirming good gold results and prospects can move the share price a little but only due to it improving the prospects for BR or a similar divestment. I wager you will not get cash from the business in any other way in the next 5-10 years.