RE: Options?29 Nov 2022 08:20
OK, complete back of *** packet numbers but how about just look at the RC open pit numbers, nothing else? The open pit part of RC appears to have approx 0.5MT of copper within 192MT of ore. The revenue is $4Bn at current prices, I have seen a Capex estimate of $1Bn for the whole capex including any required for the deeper mining after the open pit phase. So open pit capex must be less, surely? Then I have also seen quoted on LSE a processing opex figure of $10/ton of ore, so that is approx. another $2Bn of cost. Does that mean there is $1Bn plus profit potential in the open pit? Are there other costs missing here? Ok NPV will be say half that and any buyer would only pay for say a 3rd of the NPV. But that would still be significant dollars and many multiples above current SP. If you bundle in all licences with the sale giving potential big upside to a buyer, then seems like a decent chance of getting this over the line. Totally unsure on the opex cost per ton figure. Just what I have seen here. Anybody have a view on that. Obviously this will all be guess work until we see the RC model and open pit study