RE: Discount Code2 Jul 2021 11:32
Tobler,
I admire your positivity.
However, at present we are not selling millions of usd worth of product. We have provided about $2m worth of stock to distributors who have (hopefully) provided initial stock to 3,000 to 3,500 stores (not sure if the expected 3,500 stores in July was for start or end of July). Assuming each store takes one cabinet with 48 products that means initial stock (at $5 per product revenue) equals between $720k and $840k. Assuming the distributor hold s enough stock to supply a further 500 stores in current month that equals $120k. So about a half ($1m) of the sales are for initial stocking. So the other half ($1m) is for restocking existing stores that have sold the product. So about $1m worth of stock has been actually sold, not "millions of usd worth of stock".
I was a tad disappointed with the $700k figure yesterday, should that be the only sale for the period 15th May to 30th June. Obviously, should there be additional sales for this period that has not been disclosed yet then that is great news. However, if that is not the case, then the first quarterly update for 1st April to 30th June will (hopefully) confirm 3000 to 3500 stores (as expected) but only about $2m sales revenue (already disclosed). On that basis, I do not see the this having a positive effect on the sp. Many on here stated that Chill hitting the UK would rerate the sp but the impact on the sp (I think your (???) words on Telegram was a wet f a r t) was muted.
In summary, Chill is in stores in the us (tick). Chill is selling in the stores (tick). However, Chill is not (my research shows one/two store(s) as an exception) currently "flying off the shelves". I am realistic enough to not expect this in such an early phase of roll-out. As such, I have realistic expectations of the share price in the short term (I still maintain a range of 40p to 80p over the next 9 months or so). The most important thing in the short term is for roll-out to continue as stated in the Company Presentation (for some reason the Company do not appear to want to share this Presentation with shareholders via the website). If this roll-out continues then hopefully current sales will lead to re-sales and importantly also new sales as word of mouth spreads to new customers.
I feel my thoughts are realistic, you may disagree. We shall see over the next nine months........
BB2.