RE: Trading Today25 Sep 2024 11:47
Dougie,
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/quote/quick-quote.aspx?symbol=00575&S=Y. USe ticker 0575.
Keith,
As depressing as it currently looks (I'm sure we are all in the same boat), I think breakeven will be the first step, once China approves.
One just has to look at FUM which is sitting at a market CAP of just over 100mill GBP and still o US launch let alone China. So, a 10x multiple, given RPGs current market cap, is achievable, however. This is as long as China receives more than 100 cans every 3 months which shareholders are currently in the dark about.
Although Jamie stated they Genetic (the manufacturer) is capable of producing 5mill cans/year, he did state a similar thing about PSNW (except it was 8mill) and look where that got us absolutely FA. It will be up to China to push for delivery, which I am sure they will do, otherwise there is no point if they don't have cans to sell.
That said, we still will have another 12 months following the submission and then I would guess at least a further 6 months to sort out the sales logistics etc (Haleon has taken over a year with FUMs product) . RPG runs out of money by mid next year and that's already with another Jim injection made at the beginning of this year. So I expect we may be down to 95%.
Lets hope China can pull something off as Recordati needs to sell over twice as many cans as before due to the now 40Euro price tag. I also expect Recordati have (and this is just my speculation, but seems obvious) made or will make a 2nd addendum to their agreement since as far as I can see the OTC approval was never part of the original agreement and with the manufacturing problem has taken them back to day one. They will obviously want a bigger piece of the pie to cover 8 years of frustration. We cant bank on RPG doing anything since they know nothing about nuffin.
I have given up on seeing US approval or even a license agreement due to RPGs total lack of experience. What should have taken a few years has now reached the point where they are just a laughing stock. Less than 100 phase 2 subjects which took 5 years plus to finalise and having to use a 3rd party to finish the phase 3 at a loss of income as payment. Its just a terrible joke gone wrong. No licensee will be interested only a few years, if that, left on the patent.
They have flushed a good opportunity down the toilet.