RE: IDS takeover what next?16 May 2024 09:53
So it's easy to calculate where the value is, simple numbers dont know all the details on divs etc.
Assuming 322 now and 360 takeout, you can buy a share today and get an 11.8% return (360/322)
So to get an 11.8% gain you should accept a risk of at least the same amount, 11.8% which is about 38p on your 322 purchase, hence as long as bid failure keeps it above 284 you would have equalised opportunity and risk.
However as it was around 225 pre bid, 284 is clearly much higher, and therefore risk outweighs opportunity buying today at 322.