Big9 Apr 2015 01:16
deedee there are many things that need considering when trying to calculate a real value for our holdings. The cost of the finance, in dilutive terms, is a very important factor and the 'only' one the market seems to be focusing on presently, hence where our SP is currently. I do appreciate the importance of good terms in the upcoming finance package but the market is purely focusing on the negative side of the dilution it may bring and is not allowing for any value that will be added. Personally I think this will change very quickly once the finance package is secured, announced and the uncertainty has been removed. This uncertainty in itself is a drag on the SP. Once the finance is in place the value of, not only the copper, but the equipment, infrastructure and mine itself can begin to be priced in. Add to that a resource upgrade, which I personally believe will add tremendous value ( I am expecting the current drilling results will add at least 50% to the known resources and the grades to be higher. This 'should' double the SP on announcement). The price of copper is rebounding nicely and plays a very significant part in adding value to our shares. I believe we will see $3.00 lb at some point this year, and that will make a huge difference to our M/Cap and therefore SP. We must also not forget the JV we entered into with Rumbo for the Silver in the tailings. The value of the Silver was estimated at around £100 million.There are obviously costs involved in the removal and processing of the Silver and without checking back I believe we entered into a 50/50 JV. Therefore the Silver will not add £100million to our MCap, but it will add value. Slovakia hasnt been mentioned as all the focus is currently on the financing, but this will also add some value at some point in time. There is so much potential for considerable value to be added, but we first need the finance in place. The market will then remove the uncertainty and I personally expect good gains over a period of time. Within 2 months you asked ......... Difficult to answer as I am focusing further down the line into production, when finance will have been announced aswell as the resource update and the commercial production of copper will be a reality. This will start to generate income. I must add I believe the resource upgrade is as important as the finance package itself ! With finance in place, no resource update, and copper price as is today surely it would not be unreasonable to value the plant, equipment and infrastructure anywhere in the region of £200 / £250 million. Therefore today, 'with current shares in issue', an SP between 13.9p / 17.3p. I am sure Traf for example would love to be able to complete a full T/O at that value, but I doubt that would be enough to convince XGC / Orion to part with their holdings. Traf paid far more than this for one of their local mines not far from PRT, and that particular mine doesn't have anywhere near the production cap