averagedown RE : finance19 May 2015 16:47
I can give you an example of a company that did just that. And what I find remarkable is the similiarities between the company and Emed. Sound Oil (SOU) was trading around the 12's throughout August / Sept 2013. Their asset value was huge BUT, like Emed, made the announcement they needed finance to realise the value of the assets they were sat on. Fear and uncertainty revolving around the finance saw their SP significantly drop (does this sound similar). The company were never in doubt they would receive the funding but nevertheless the SP plummeted to 4.75 / 5p ( again sound familiar). It was not until they released an RNS in February 2014 announcing the finance package had been secured that the SP then started to increase. They secured finance at 5p through an internal source and then further announcements followed, one in answer to your question was II's buying in at 9p. Their SP at 5p was artificially low and II's could see this was the case and were happy to pay a premium at 9p, as they were not on the 'inside' and able to buy at 5p ! With the finance in place fear and uncertainty were removed and the SP gained momentum. By June that year the SP was trading in the 12's, back to previous levels before the unnecessary fear and uncertainty dropped the SP. With the funding they could set about their business in realeasing the value of their assets. Today they are trading Mid 20's, well over 50% higher than their previous highs before financing was required and the SP is nearly 5 times as much as it was when the finance package was in talks and uncertainty played a factor in lowering the SP. I had the pleasure of watching this unfold as I was a holder of SOU shares. Today I am a holder of Emed shares and I strongly believe I will witness something remarkably similar, it all seems a bit uncanny. Our SP is only sat at 5p due to the uncertainty revolving around the finance IMO. Remove this, and we can go full steam ahead in releasing the value of our assets. My personal opinion is that we will see an element of the fianance package priced at 7p +. If a 4th party is to play a part in the finance structure they will either provide a loan on very good terms (otherwise Traf, XGC, Orion could fund themselves) or pay between 7p - 9p to be involved in the placing. Why would any of our Big 3 allow a 4th party to join in on more favourable terms than they have to date. Give this 9 / 12 months after finance has been announced and I fully expect that we could see a similar change in fortunes as I was fortunate to be involved in with Sound Oil, 20p could become achievable with significant resource upgrade, high grades from Exploration Drilling and producing at 5mtpa with a programme and announcement that production will be increased to and beyond 9mtpa. Of course, this is providing we haven't had a T/O offer accepted by that point ;-) GLA