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Merry Christmas to You and Yours stephen11 !!
Sorry about my Stalkers, the Proven Compulsive Liars, and Nasty with it - ''Incognito the False'' and ''Carlose666''
I am certain they do not understand the Maths, the Meaning, Or the Purpose of ''Calculations'', and when characters like these do not understand they Lie, and become Abusively Nasty - I guess it is a matter of 'forgive them, for they Know Not what they do'' !!
Have a Great Christmas everyone !!
Hi stephen11,
As my post of the 1st Dec 2023, this post shows Financing until November 2024 !!
In this post I had taken out £1,000,000 of Devote funding completely, which is probably being a tad harsh, as JC did say that he thought we would get some more funding from Devote, but not all of the £1.2mil.? He also suggested that we would likely get other funding from other sources ?!!
I also removed my belief that we would reduce our Monthly £400k expenditure to around the £275k per month. We have no evidence that this is going to happen, which is a surprise to me, seeing as Russ Shaw stated in the March 2023 Presentation that ''we spend £125k per product per month on Product Development, and we usually have 2 Development Products running at any one time, so it is easy to see where cost savings can be made'' - intimating that we can save on Development costs on our MT-RNR1 and CYP2C19 Tests??
I also took out further R&D Tax refunds for the Tax year ending June 2024. I reduced this to zero based on Russ Shaw saying that the R&D Tax refund rate has changed, but he did not say by how much, and to what? - I am sure it will be greater than zero in reality though?!!
I did leave in the £800k R&D Tax refund due in the 1st Qtr of 2024, for the Tax year ending June 2023, because Russ Shaw confirmed that we would be receiving this amount !!
Also I did not include any income from sales all the way up to November 2024, yet we know sales are happening, so add the value of sales income as people see fit !!
JC did say that we will need to raise cash early in the 1st Qtr of 2024, either via a placing, Or taking on Debt (currently we have Zero Debt).
We are also pursuing Funding through sources.
I believe we are intent on further Drawdowns from RF up to the total of £5mil agreement?!!
A reminder of my previous post:-
1 Dec 2023 09:38
How do Our Finances look after Yesterday’s Results Presentation?
Russ Shaw stated that we have £1mil in cash (as of 23rd November), and £300k due from RF (Our 3rd Drawdown)
At running costs of £400k/month – This money will last until c. 2nd March 2024 ( a correction here)
Then we have £200k due from DEVOTE Funding soon, takes us to 31st March 2024.
Then we have £800k due from R&D Tax Refund due first Qtr 2024, takes us to 31st May 2024.
Then should we receive the remaining 7 x £300k RF Drawdowns = £2.1mil, takes us to 7th November 2024.
Then we have the next R&D Tax Refund for the Year ending 30th June 2024 – Not sure how much this will be after Russ Shaw saying Yesterday that Tax Refunds had been reduced as of April 2023?
The above does not include any new revenue from sales, and James Cheek stated that Commercial Traction is happening !!
Then we have Funding avenues, under exploration!
James was Very keen on the FDA submission for Our MTRN1 (AIHL) Test, and said that this would need a cash raise in the first Qtr of 2024.
He talked about discussions with Partners in
Hi stephen11,
Yes I am Good Thanks !
Yes sure, I will take another look at the Finances tomorrow !!
I have taken a tougher view after our end of year Presentation, still looking Good for 2024.
And as you say the possible Raise early in 2024; OR possible take on of Debt (currently we have No Debt); Or possibly a Partner in the USA will be to Finance an FDA Approval Application for our MT-RNR1 IMHO !!
I was surprised that in answer to my question on receiving the whole £1.2mil Devote funding, James Cheek responded saying, 'he did not think we would receive the whole £1.2mil'.
I was also surprised to see our monthly costs had not reduced from £400k per month, considering Russ Shaw comments in our March 2023 Presentation?
However, JC came across as Dynamic; Honest and ''On It'' !!
Great to see we have received orders from our Distributors outside of the UK, just as he said we would !!
Hi stephen11,
Another Great Post, from you.
Had a Good day out Fishing yesterday, and caught one Whopper - Not as Whopping as Our SP rise yesterday though !!
13 Million + Share Trades yesterday, and a further 11 Million + of share trades today, so far !!
Share sells are being Bought up, as quick as they become available !!
# Trades 523
Vol. Sold 4,981,862
Sold Value £469.29k
Vol. Bought 5,684,116
Bought Value £539.37k
Open
9.61
High
10.72
Low
8.00
The next £300,000 Drawdown, does not look too far away, with the outstanding money from the full £5,000,000 Drawdown Agreement, 'most likely to be taken up', over the coming months, as I see it - IMHO !!
@Franky,
Have You actually listened to the Presentation ?
When I say running the business Month to Month - Day to day - The £400k per month does Not just include keeping the Lights on (as you put it). By far the majority of the £400k per month goes to Product Development, and All that this entails.
For the Year ending 30th June 2023 we spent £3.9mil on R&D - That is an average of £325K per month.
It costs about £125K per Product in Development (said Russ Shaw, in the March Presentation) - Therefore 2 Products (MTRN1 and CYP2C19) costs about £250K per month - These costs are largely included in the £400K per month expenditure.
To run the Business and keep the lights on (as You put it) costs somewhere between £75K and £150K per month - not sure of the actual figure - my workings out come from the R&D costs.
James Cheek clearly stated (excitedly I would say) we are gaining 'Commercial Traction' - I think he said 'watch this space' - Not totally sure about the wording he used? - I will need to listen to the Presentation again.
Sells are what we need, and James Cheek is on it !!
The money we have, and the money coming in will keep our Business running and paying R&D costs - until such time that sells revenue takes over - is how I see it.
Going Concern statements are Not uncommon amongst AIM companies, and we have posted Going Concern statements for a few years - I believe, without checking.
You said ''GDR is not the only firm in this space'' - Well that is Not what James Cheek said in the Presentation - James made a Massive point about Our MTRN1 Test in saying - There is absolutely no one out there that does what we do !!
James also said that he did not see AI/machining affecting our Test in the short to medium term - Have you listened to the Presentation? - I suggest You do, and if You have, try listening to it again - it is well worth the listening time.
I will listen to it again for sure.
LOL - I Really do Not believe Posters such as 'incognito the False', can read!! - And Certainly does Not understand anything !!
James Cheek clearly stated the raise is for an FDA submission of Our MTRN1 (AIHL Test) !!
He did Not say a Raise is needed to fund the running of the Business - month to month - day to day.
How do Our Finances look after Yesterday’s Results Presentation?
Russ Shaw stated that we have £1mil in cash (as of 23rd November), and £300k due from RF (Our 3rd Drawdown)
At running costs of £400k/month – This money will last until c. Mid March 2024
Then we have £200k due from DEVOTE Funding soon, takes us to 31st March 2024.
Then we have £800k due from R&D Tax Refund due first Qtr 2024, takes us to 31st May 2024.
Then should we receive the remaining 7 x £300k RF Drawdowns = £2.1mil, takes us to 7th November 2024.
Then we have the next R&D Tax Refund for the Year ending 30th June 2024 – Not sure how much this will be after Russ Shaw saying Yesterday that Tax Refunds had been reduced as of April 2023?
The above does not include any new revenue from sells, and James Cheek stated that Commercial Traction is happening !!
Then we have Funding avenues, under exploration!
James was Very keen on the FDA submission for Our MTRN1 (AIHL) Test, and said that this would need a cash raise in the first Qtr of 2024.
He talked about discussions with Partners in the USA !
Hi Jimi,
Agreed and Thanks !!
I also believe that RF will at some point exercise their warrants, when our SP is a wedge higher than it is today, and Yes I also believe they will make a lot of money from them.
Gloria,
I Thank you for Your response.
In My Post, I have quoted my previous posted calculations- and these are the paragraphs highlighted with quotation marks. '' - ''
Underneath each of my previously quoted/posted calculations/numbers - I have written my notes from todays Presentation.
As I have stated in my first posts today (One post spread over two submissions) - I have Not yet figured those notes from todays presentation, into my new calculations yet.
It is obvious to me that posters like 'incognito the False', and 'Carlose666' have not properly read my posts, not understood them, and not realised that I have not yet posted new calculations taking into consideration todays Presentation/information.
So for them to post ''Bigliar67 says that GDR are funded intil Oct 2025.'' is complete non-sense - as this was calculations posted prior to todays information, and this has obviously changed as of today.
Hi Jimi,
Thanks for your response!!
In my post I did show, that the money to come from RF on exercise of their warrants is a 'date unknown'?
eg - I stated the following, from my previous posts:- ‘’Since April we have also received a further £600,000 from RF (And a further £336,000 due from RF on exercise of their first two drawdowns of Warrants – Date unknown?)’’
Please also Note, that I have Never Ever included the payments RF would have to pay GDR, 'on exercise of their warrants', as GDR 'income' in Any of my GDR Finance calculations.
Just that 'should' RF exercise their warrants, then they have to pay GDR those sums of money !! £336,000, plus the £118,000,so far, as stated.
RF may Never exercise their warrants, however I would be surprised if they don't, at some point in the future ?!,
Hi harrizma,
Many Thanks for your response, it is much appreciated !!
The reason I post my calculations/numbers is that they are my reasons for investing in Our GDR.
My Post states the Numbers I have posted previously, (denoted in quotation marks), followed by my notes from todays Presentation (written with No quotation marks).
As I stated I will figure todays information into my calculations/numbers and post when complete.
People like 'incognito the False' and 'carlose666'' and 'a few others', are Not interested in the content of my posts. They just look for something that they think they can deceitfully use to attack me - and they get it wrong.
They read what they want to read, and Not what is written.