Another new 52 week low25 Jan 2022 15:17
52 Week High 1,192.00
52 Week High Date 27-Jan-2021
52 Week Low 185
52 Week Low Date 25-Jan-2022
A polite punter wrote to me yesterday "I have read your posts on many other shares, and found you to be spot on (even when others didn't want to hear it)". NCYT had a fantastic run and made a lot of folk a lot of money....my biggest winner last year apart from Arb.......but then it became clear the wheels had fallen off. Then the ramping started as did the "head in sand"...so here we are down 85% in a year with dire results but good cash. How many ramps were posted on here daily by the desperate? **** me off if you want to (plenty did when I said this was going down) but do try to learn to hit the sell button if you want to make money in the mkt.....be fearful when others are greedy. Far harder than the buy.
We had that handy spike to near 400p and that was a good time to exit. So where now? NCYT is just fair value because of the cash but in reality it is now a cash shell because the "business" is limited now and may be just break even at best. Not much value at all there imo.
So what to do with the cash? That will be crucial. If they go out and buy over priced bio stakes it will soon go. How many directors blow large amounts of cash? I can easily name you 50 companies that have had £100 million and all gone in a year or so and the price has collapsed to a penny stock. NCYT should have done a big rights issue when the price was £10 and built up a huge war chest. It was stupid not to have done so...as I said at the time.
The directors have themselves blown a lot of money on buying stock last year. Will they ever get their money back? Doubtful.
So just because the company has a load of money does not mean it will recover in price. The mkt does not think the current BOD has the expertise to invest it to cover company expenses and fat salaries. The directors were smart enough to see a gap in the market and be the first to get in with testing and deserve credit but the mkt knows the skill set is very different.
So I will not be buying and I see 150 p the next target. 90 per cent down in a year. All the way up the mountain and all the way down. Maybe the company will invest the cash well and maybe it will recover a bit short term as other companies have a look but in two years time? The odds are long that NCYT will be one of those superstar stocks that shined brightly for just a year or so before falling back to Earth and new punters will look at the chart and say "wow".