SB on ii23 Jun 2018 11:22
Well, the week ended on a low, may be a combination of ‘still no op news’ and ‘manipulated selling’. What does that manipulated selling mean? Well, if you review the trades yesterday, after 3pm, 3 large trades went through at 0.35p in the space of 20mins, which on a Friday afternoon, probably cemented the fall. Now, it could either be a coincidence (someone came to the end of their treather and genuinely sold out), or morbid motivation by one of th shorters that this was roughly the same number of shares Zaza bought few weeks back. Coincidence? Not in my view. But I would say that you do not underestimate the motivations of these people, as recently demonstrated by someone trying to pass as me on the LSE BB. Anyway whatever the case, we are where we are, with an sp looking like a real bargain at 0.35p when there has been huge progress with the 3 oil wells and ‘is it/isn’t it’ well known as Ud. More interestingly, we had no word on twitter either, especially on the progress of T39, which was ahead of schedule as per the 25 May RNS.
Well, if you are trading this and bought ‘on the news’, then you will be feeling the pressure but if you are a LTH, hopefully we can ride out this artificially induced downward trend very soon. But what I can say that we will definitely get some news by Friday as the Y/E 31/12/2017 numbers have to be released by Friday. The company’s auditor is top notch in PwC but I am not expecting Y/E numbers to show any great as most of the drilling activity started from Feb-onwards. However the half year numbers to 30/06/18 will be more revealing and these have to be released by 30/09/18 latest.
So next week is going to be pivotal in many ways. I think we will finally get an operational update of some kind: T39-yes, clarity on financing for the next phase of drilling-maybe, Ud-yes (but my expectations are low now), and some guidance/timing on Zone-9 + Zone 13 (will probably frack themselves as they now some expertise and the high pressure pump).
The other bit is the payment due to YA but nice to see the oil price rebound strongly yesterday, so every little helps, I guess.
JMO