RE: News due29 Jun 2022 08:53
modeller, NI currently trades with both the EU and the UK as if it were a member of both. There's frictionless trade with the EU and the NI economy is doing far, far better than the rest of the UK. By comparison, the UK already has higher inflation than the rest of the G7 and is expected to experience the lowest growth in the G20 apart from Russia. The gov is putting this NI advantage in jeopardy.
And don't underestimate the penalties the UK will pay for breaking international law, reneging on an agreement that it helped to write, and politicising such a crucial issue merely to detract media attention from the corruption and incompetence of this govt.
As far as the TCA is concerned, whether or not there is a trade war - and it's a question of degree - concerns that there might be are likely to have a deleterious effect on CMRS market sentiment given our recent good news is utterly dependent upon the TCA.