The Gish Gallop Returns31 Oct 2022 11:24
……
Surprising , the “reet wee Horlicks” made of the previous knee jerk slating, for which even our correspondent apologised.
Anyway, it’s 25% commercial, not geological, with risk mitigation planned
Commercial not geological
"SLR applied a modest 25% chance of commerciality to the MOU-4 asset to reflect a raft of outstanding production, technical, legal, contractual and environmental issues that would apply to a project as large as a full scale MOU-4 development. However, we believe that the chances for advancing commerciality for smaller pilot-sized CNG projects supplying gas to industrial customers is higher and also scalable as bite sized projects could demonstrate commerciality for a longer term roll of larger scale CNG projects."
As an aside, confidence intervals are only really useful when applied to experiments which can be repeated, or populations which can be sampled multiple times, so not much use here.
Etc etc