"hindsight forecast", really?31 Jan 2023 14:47
Posted on 10/25/2022, more than 3 months ago:
Quote: "Vanchem quarterly production of 350t is an encouraging improvement over Q2 (191t). However, the press release implied the next miss ahead: Indeed, Vanchem's (already lowered!) annual guidance is maintaned at 1350-1540t. However, Q1-Q3 production = 765t. In order to meet the lower end of guidance 585t are required in Q4, equivalent to 90% of nameplate (2600tpa). Q3 production rate was 54% of nameplate with the September rate lower than August's. Achieving an average production rate of 90% nameplate in Q4 at Vanchem, up from 54% in Q3, would be highly unlikely during "normal times" already but is perfectly unattainable with the current rate of load shedding. Rest assured, Vanchem is going to miss the already lowered annual guidance! "