RE: 20% down from 54p9 Jul 2020 18:11
Well, I got back in here a few days back, but ended up selling out again, I thought it was gonna rise back up towards 54p, with Olivia momentum, but then it got slammed (shorters?) when that PMO bid article came out (maybe a bit setup was being played by the big boys) - you were very lucky that day, and that's the gamble you take when shorting (without guaranteed stops).
I'm not liking the current situation at all, and am all in cash. Can't be bothered shorting it at the moment, as there could well be some bidding action with Apache - who knows (note no official denials either!).
Refinancing is going to have to offer a few cherries to the others seeing as ARCM was paid off recently, so not liking that much, and in this climate any dilution (raising $200m?) probably won't be taken nicely by Mr Market, despite probably putting PMO in a better position with producing assets and more tax free production. Might be safer to stay out until the refinancing is done, then go from there, and see how the global situation looks then. Capital preservation, as you say, is paramount (at least trying to preserve it!).
It's hard to call it given everything that's going on. Seeing some articles predicting a "great summer" on the stock markets, and others saying it looks just like the 1929 depression is about to kick off... In other words nobody has a fooking clue!!