HS228 Jan 2020 09:19
I was just thinking about HS2 and the number 100 Billion pounds.
100 Billion pounds is of course enough to create 100,000 Millionaires. If the project goes ahead I wonder how many of those would be in the companies building it, but I digress and must think more patriotically.
Okay let us consider that we can persuade 500,000 people from Birmingham (50% of the pop.) and 500,000 from London (5% of the pop) to use the line once a year for 10 years - how much does that work out per trip ? - Well that's 10 million more journeys, so only 10,000 pounds per trip, hmmm still seems quite expensive to me.
Okay, lets imagine that something crazy happens and the government for whatever reason decide not to go ahead, how much VRFB energy storage would 100 Billion quid get you ?
Well let's just say that Cellcube's $200/kWh figure ( https://www.energy-storage.news/blogs/cellcubes-highly-vertical-ambitions-for-long-duration-redox-flow-batteries ) works out around £200/kWh when you add in all the import duties and tax and whatever, £100 Billion quid would buy half a Billion kWh, or to put it another way half a thousand GWh = 500 GWh.
This is a lot of storage, but is it as much as the UK needs ? Well the recent Future energy scenarios estimates that by 2050 we will need 50GW of energy storage, but they neglect to tell us what duration energy storage this averages out at, so let us assume 4 hours. This totals to 200 GWh.
So it seems clear that we can either press on with an overly expensive London-Birmingham vanity project or we could install ALL the Battery Energy Storage Systems that National grid says we will need, plus have half the money left over to build something like 80 GW of PV (2018 capex less than a dollar per Watt) that would be the kind of thing that you would need to charge up 200 GWh of batteries.
To me this seems like the obvious sort of no-brainer substitution that needs to happen. Boris has the opportunity to play the green card in the year of COP26 and keeps all those Tory MPs in the shires happy - the question is does he have the balls ?