RE: Strategic review20 Mar 2026 09:48
HFG near-term outlook looks challenging in my view: I expect potential negative developments from the Saudi JV given the ongoing conflict, while the renewed rise in energy costs risks repeating the margin squeeze seen in the last inflationary cycle, particularly if customers like Tesco again resist passing through higher input costs or absorbing any of the pressure; beyond energy, structurally elevated white fish prices due to quota constraints should keep raw material costs high, and with no immediate regulatory clearance likely for the Foppen facility in Greece, there are few obvious catalysts (the venture in Canada to be precise, which was not even mentioned in the last trading update). I remain skeptical on any near-term recovery, with a dividend increase looking unlikely this year and a cut a distinct possibility if conditions do not improve