Triangle formed since May 2017 could be breaking to downside but would have to cross to 33p first.
Stochastic from Oct 2018 has been in downward trend and also diverged from share price. This is not a bullish signal.
Finally HUR created a cup and handle pattern from July 2014 to May 2019. The resistance of 61 was tested twice recently and failed twice. That's not bullish.
Gapped up at th e open and is expected to break an ascending triangle pattern which started in September 2019. If there is a breakout, then 90 is possible.
PS: As I'm writing this price is up to 77 and today appears bullish.
Far too early to be bottom fishing13 Nov 2019 08:51
Caveat emptor to the bottom fishers. Today's fall is a triangle breakout to the downside from a pattern which started in Jan 2016. IMHO More weakness expected.
Had a nice pop from 194 to 224. Daily 200 EMA is 188 and it's also above 217 high reached in may this year. IMHO it's a bullish reversal and could go to the 260s.
RE: Good news after Q3 trading update21 Oct 2019 18:15
Low of 383 today, but finished the day back to where it left on Friday. Bullish in my opinion.
PS: Today UBS reiterated buy with a target price of 425p. I don't set much store by broker recommendations although a technical target after the break of 399 would be 450.
Technically, 246 is achievable. Then, there could be a pullback to approx 190. If that happens, and 246 is finally taken out, a trend reversal will be in play.
2 things: Media/panic and Q3 update21 Oct 2019 10:04
1) Media (e.g. Times and Telegraph) have stoked minor panic amongst investors. The share price however is not related to the safety of their capital. This is not a product that is easy access or liquid enough for you to sell your loan parts quickly. Hence a minor stampede resulting in a 100+ day time-frame to turn loans into a cash withdrawal.
2) Good market reaction to today's Q3 update. Loans are growing, US is growing and so too will Germany and Holland in time. However, can they turn loss into profit? Wait until March 2020 for full year results.