Member Info for AL75

1) Lots of selling and absolutely still in a downtrend. 1600 is support, but there has to be a strong fundamental reason DGE will make a trend reversal.

2) Technically: If 14+ year head and shoulders pattern completes then it is very likely we see 1100.

On 21st August I turned bearish at 70.6p.

With this one I dodged a bullet with an even greater subsequent decline.

PS: When the dividend is a very high 15%, even on an investment fund, the market is telling you something is wrong.

At 1686 ish, DGE has returned to the price it was 10 years ago

Downtrend started May 2023 and continues in earnest

Chance of breaking below 1686 support is technically high IMHO if the business cannot address its issues.

Just looking at one metric, Price to earnings ratio, and the market will still pay 22x earnings for the shares. So, there is confidence especially as it increased from 18x in 2024.

But still the shares fall!

I don't comment on trades, and just provide opinions.

Power earnings gap to the downside. IMHO not to be filled, and will continue to fall to support at 198 and possibly fill the Nov 24 gap at 171.

Separate analysis on the monthly chart. Parallel channel started in Dec 2023 could mean it hits it's lower end o the channel at 188.

Overall uptrend is broken especially as volume and bulls are not supportive.

After earnings gap on 25th July, 2nd leg up began

That started after an Aug 11th retest of new support at 5430

5430 was previously resistance and was tested once in March 2025

5986 now in sight

GLA

PS: This is not for advice to trade in RKT; just my opinion

Technically TW has formed a 12 year top and is now in an area support. No place to buy IMO and it could either head to 53, range or head up for a short rise. Who knows. Selling however, has been above average levels since Oct 2024 as market participants get rid of the stock.

WARNING: This just one person's opinion and is not encouraging any type of trade in this stock.

I was technically bullish on NESF until today.

However, fundamentally it doesn’t appear like a fund which will grow. The dividend will remain a drag on its performance as it’s distributed instead of reinvested. Share buybacks are minimal and are not the ideal commercial way to increase NAV.

In today's statement, positive changes to NAV were erased by the negative factors:

Positive Changes to NAV

• +2.2p Unwinding of the discount applied to cash flows

• +0.5p Higher-than-budgeted irradiation in the UK, leading to a 0.5p uplift to the NAV per Ordinary Share.

• 2.76p Capital Recycling Programme

• Negligible impact - Share Buyback

Total positive impact: 5.46p

Negative Changes:

• -2.2p Reduction in long-term projected UK power price assumptions

• 0.9p BESS (Battery Energy Storage System) Revenue Forecasts

• 2.1p Cash Dividends Paid

Total negative impact: 5.5p

NOTE: This is not a solicitation to trade in ATG shares. Do your own research and make your own trading decisions.

Not sure about buying at this time. Too early and needs a future announcement to confirm margins and outlook have turned around.

Lower Profit Guidance: ATG revised its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to 42–43%, down from 45–46%, citing a shift in revenue mix and rising shipping volumes with lower margins.

Chairish Acquisition Concerns: Chairish has an EBITDA loss

Timing of announcements: Combining weaker guidance and performance with a major acquisition has unsettled the market.

RBC Capital Markets noted the “difficult optics” of combining a profit warning with a new deal, though they acknowledged the long-term strategic rationale and potential synergies saving $8m.

All things considered, I'm bearish.

The drop in ASLI today is tied to its capital return mechanism. The trust is in a managed wind-down phase, and 12p per share is being returned to shareholders via B Shares, which went ex-distribution on 29 July 2025.

Power earnings gap today, and could head up to £58.70.

It's now meeting strong resistance at £55.60-ish, making it difficult to pass higher.

Therefore, more time needed to see if this is part of a trend reversal Which started almost 5 years ago.

For what it's worth 17 analysts rate it Buy/Strong Buy (10) or hold (7)

Breakout from 104 in the last 2 weeks, although it hasn't retested it yet and we're only at the start of week 2. Let's see what the next few weeks bring?

Irrespective of fundamentals and speculation, NESF is breaking out of a downward trendline established at about 123 in Sept 2022. That's on the weekly chart and it will need to confirm it in the coming weeks. Next resistance to break though is 77.5, which in my view is likely.

One fact on Fundamentals: NESF still trades at a discount of 25% to NAV, and remains "unloved".

PS: This is not a solicitation to take any type of trade in NESF

Marked up over 4 to 5% on the day on Rachel's spending review. Looks like a trend reversal might be happening.

Breakout after retesting 88. Bullish breakout and trend reversal.

Also today, for what it's worth, Panmure Liberum started coverage of Target Healthcare with a buy rating and a target of 112p.

I can understand the reason traders argue over petty things:

The "narcissism of small differences," a concept introduced by Sigmund Freud, suggests that intense hostility and conflict can arise between groups that are otherwise similar, with minor differences being magnified and perceived as significant.

Another leg to the downside after hitting resistance at 70.4 in mid March. Thought it would head up to 87 to finish the head on the head and shoulders pattern, but it's not to be.

Some thoughts:

An annoying piece of news for bulls. It still has another gap to fill at 370 ish. At least this bad news is priced in. Difficult to pick an entry at this time though (maybe 300??)

Technically PSN is heading towards its 2023 support of 967. 1st stop 1059 though made in Jan 2025.

Of course, this may not happen otehrwise I'd be mega rich accurately predicting the future.

Downtrend still in play, and odds are not good on a reversal just yet.

Technically, 518 is in sight as that's where strong support is found.