Member Info for aimtitan

Tipping point, 60!

lets see 6months from now! ; )

How was I wrong?
My money in trakm8 has maintained its value
Vs boohoo drop from £4 to 50p

My bad, revs of £1.7bn closing 2021
Was being lazy

Besides
Boohoo revenue £1.2bn with mcap £780m
Nbrown revenue £700m with mcap £126
Not rocket science to see which one is a multibag

in the equity space to stick to value stocks and low/mid mcaps as they can withstand tight conditions
large/mega caps will suffer

on a profit warning 40p is definately inevitable. they cant even raise cheap capital anymore! so its locked in the corner

I believe it went up to 26p from 17p. Which I sold based on covid and now rebuying on the thesis of inflation

I sense sarcasm, so clearly you struggle with the difference between valuation and sentiment based market value. So back 6 months ago the price was based on a similar backdrop of high returns and slowing of sales.

So today, we are facing the same returns but the driver isn't covid but inflation. Where covid has ended, inflation is only beginning. So for a low margin high volume business, this is catastrophic. And given this targets a demographic which is ultra sensitive to inflation with low savings and high leverage.

I would imagine this will see a series of profit warning and operational optimisation programs to squeeze margins. It will be a long slog in the range of 45p to 55p range ( without dilution or capital raises)

Nbrown isn't my first choice, ots just an resilient alternative where margins will be squeezed but volumes will be sustained as its an older customer with savings and approaching retirement range.

My favourite is trakm8, a low cap with 90% shares held by insiders or institutions . Works to reduce fuel costs and with major clients. Also working with adiona to launch the first AI based usage based insurance for motor vehicles. At mcap £9m with revenues of £20m, its both value and growth in the right environment. Just have a check of thr latest telematics m&a from private equity. And PE is always one step ahead

Check my history. I called this. Valuation is what I do for a living

Cut your losses and look at TRAKM8 or NBrown
Trakm8 is telematics, provides fuel optimisation and pay as you go insurance. Perfect for the current inflationary environment.

Nbrown is targeting older people which have savings hence more resilient to inflation

"aimtitan
Posted in: BOO
RE: Closing price estimates?17 Dec 2021 14:17
Personally say 60p based on p2p nbrown valuation on rev and ebitda. But that's not factoring margin compression, nbrown makes a better yield due to older demographic. Boo is younger target audience so if they increase their prices to maintain margin, they price them out in a economic environment which will make the poor homeless"

Its just a matter of time
Am in heavy on this and poly. With a medium size on pog. If one hits, it covers the risk on the others

If anyone's looking for a multi bagger. Check out trakm8. It's telematics, saves fuel on commercial vehicles and also provides GPS tracking for pay as you go car insurance. It's competitive is microlise and quartix which are both £100m+. So trakm8 at £8m got huge potential

Its just a matter of time
Am in heavy on this and evraz.

If anyone's looking for a multi bagger. Check out trakm8. It's telematics, saves fuel on commercial vehicles and also provides GPS tracking for pay as you go car insurance. It's competitive is microlise and quartix which are both £100m+. So trakm8 at £8m got huge potential

Don't listen to aspers, he's been calling 20p since he lost his wife and kids to this after buying £2+. Any customers they gain from ofgem under the suppliers of last resort are priced based on the gas futures curve and costed. This is them compensated by ofgem. Centrica would then buy a forward contract on them to hedge the risk and make a small spread. So the risk is nothing

https://www.cityam.com/centrica-under-pressure-from-activist-investors-as-energy-crisis-deepens/

I've been a long term pog investor, from the lows of 5 to the nights of 40s. It's been a blessing as it has given me gains but a curse as I imagined it would be a long term gem I discovered when people were sceptical.

With the Russian intrusion I called it quits a while back. For those of you who remember me have a look at trakm8.

It's a telematics business working with insurance companies to offer a new insurance proposition based on usage to reflect the wfh culture.

It's 90% owned by insiders of which 20% is owned by microlise plc which is looking to m&a. The CEO of microlise has personal shares in trakm8 also.
Revenues are £20m with mcap of £11m

These only so much excitement you can get with bog roll. If the management had a decent holding, maybe this would have maintained confidence.

Have a look at TRAKM8,£10M MCAP, 90% INSTITUTION and INSIDER OWNED
Specialises in telematics and working with insurance companies to offer pay as you go insurance policies for a world where people are working from home and commutes are less

Saying so and so fund has breached x% threshold on disposal and this will free fall.

Trust me penny stocks is the way to go.
The goliath have binged on debt and growth to critical size fast. Now their ability to grow further are in single digits so people loose interest and pivot to small stocks like trakm8

Like most things in life it's about timing.
Those who bought at £2 clearly didn't evaluate the business. That's the cost and risk of a free market. To feel sorry for them takes away the importance of doing prudent due diligence

95! Haha her tracksuits on drip mate
Anyways let's see where this lands.
I imagine it's a first to the exit case with institutions which have controls to limit risk on growth stocks like this