RE: DSPP18 Apr 2018 22:26
The second point I noticed is this, and here I'll actually quote: but I have to be careful. So will deconstruct it bit by bit.
"HUR have not categorically said that max tieback length is 6km. What they have said is much more nuanced than that."
Oh yeah? I disagree. Yes they have been categoric, though admittedly 'based on current understanding of existing flowline solution'. So I'll agree that if some further knowledge is obtained, maybe the 'range' can be extended.
" Under some circumstances, for some reasons, for some periods of time, at some flow rates, with some levels of knowledge, other things are indicated by what HUR have already said."
Yes, I'll agree with that as well. Plans can change as more data is acquired. Compare/contrast the EPS as envisaged in the 2013 CPR with what's actually going ahead now. One has to be flexible.
" My strong suspicion is that people will be looking very closely at whether the flowline envelope can be stretched to 6-10km so as to get "flow assurance" for (say) 6-12 months. If so, that means the AM can serve to sufficiently appraise Lincoln and Warwick without moving an inch."
And this is where I completely disagree with my colleague on the other board. But thankfully he ringfences his disclaimer "My strong suspicion is...". In other words, it's a personal opinion.
For what it's worth, and in response, I, personally, little ol' adoubleuk, 'strongly suspect' that Hurricane have better ways of wasting their time and our money than trying to tie Warwick (which will be an exploration well, not appraisal) into the FPSO! Technically and economically, there is (in my opinion) utterly no reason why Hurricane should pursue such a course of action.
When it boils down to it, look again at the pictures of the FPSO in Dubai, and the nice new signboard on its side. There's the Hurricane logo, and underneathit, big and bold, the word 'Lancaster'. Is there a little bit underneath in paretheses and small print saying '(and maybe other fields)'?
If so, I can't see it.
Other than these two significant points of disagreement (taking up two posts), Dspp writes a lot of knowlegable and informed stuff which I enjoy reading, because I recognise a fellow professional when I see one. Doesn't mean we have to necessarily agree on everything, though. I suspect he's spent more of his career wearing a tie and sitting behind a desk than I have, but just because his calculator's got less muddy paw-prints on its buttons than mine doesn't mean that the result in the display is somehow 'better'.