RE: Election11 Apr 2021 13:26
BBG, I agree with you about valuation, although £3 may be a bit of a stretch.
However, and it's a big however, I think it's going to be difficult to persuade anyone to pay a decent price unless we can demonstrate that a conditional funding package is in place.
If we place ourselves in a potential buyers shoes we will know full well that the company is constantly in need of cash and although there's no reason to suspect we won't get it, past performance is no guarantee of the future. This is THE major weakness in our armoury.
If we are able to prove we can fund ourselves up to and including production, our negotiating position is transformed and a "proper" valuation could be achieved. This is the incredibly difficult balancing act the board is confronted with.
RK reminded me the other day that NM had said we'd lined-up $1bn of the $3bn needed. This was quite a long time ago...what has happened to it?
By the way, before anyone accuses me of changing my tune, I haven't and maintain my view we will not take this to production, at least not as 85% owners. It will either be sold or we'll jv it. You could easily argue " hang on a minute, if we get the funding package, why would we need to sell?" - and it's a fair question. The answer comes back to the age old argument and overriding imperative that BHP are not here for a 14% minority holding. This trumps every other consideration.