RE: Where oh where...26 May 2021 04:26
Covgaz, the problem with that line of thinking is when it comes to financing Alpala. Unless the company can fund the whole thing with debt, which is not feasible, a significant amount of equity will be required. Assuming BHP/NCM want to pursue the project, and this is not a given, they will block any such move which doesn't involve them, just as they did at the AGM by making sure the special resolution was removed from the agenda. Their participation in the recent placing was, in part, to make sure they still have control over the voting process of any future special resolutions and explains why 'the Chinese' (whoever they are) will not be involved.
NM and his various interests simply do not have the where with all to stand their corner in a very large equity raise and, just like the rest of us, will be diluted. This is why the whole 'diverse book' thing falls on its face.
For those who wish to see us being involved in the company as it moves towards production, the only possibility is via a jv which would see us ending up with a minority holding (see GGP). The management will know this and I'm sure they'll be weighing up which makes more sense for them and us - continuing as minority holders with no control and no dividends for many years , or selling the project in its entirety.
These are the two options: take your pick as to which you think makes most sense. Independent production is simply pie-in-the-sky stuff.
What we are witnessing is the classic problem of inviting trade investors onto your share register. It's great to get their money, expertise and the credibility they lend to a company, but the downside is that there's a price to pay - and that price is freedom of choice. This happened at BCN and is happening here as well.
However, none of this is to say there's nothing in it for us. I believe there's significant value creation to come and I'm sure our board will focus on delivering it.