RE: time to buy back22 Nov 2019 03:12
Yep and plenty will taken positions (or should be over the next week, more so if the price stays around this level).
I think we’re unanimous in thinking gspc selling their stake in Cambay would be the beginning of a big rerate, will it happen though? By the following Monday, given previous delays.
Well heres my outlook on it. They had 90 days, with government being a signatory to this being completed (Significantly, the Indian Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH) is a signatory to the settlement.) within the 90 day mark. Would be approx 60 days come the 30th which would leave the remaining 30 days to get the deal done once a bid has been accepted (i think it will go this way with oex first refusal playing a big part).
If its not done in 90 days then the government isn’t going to let this slide etc etc would gspc forfeit the their pi in cambay? Every chance they would given they have little funds and owe oex a few million quid as it is.
What would happen to the sp if there was another delay? Not much imo given there would be only 30 days to resolve the matter (within the 90 days) maybe drop 15% and dips would be bought into.
I believe we’re in the end game now where the dispute with Cambay is concerned. Those brave/lucky enough to have put together decent holdings sub or around current levels could potentially see explosive gains, or have to wait another month. We wait. GLA
** forgot to mention in second to last paragraph if worst case scenario happened then we would drop 15-20% but that wouldnt be on todays price as i expect this to bubble up next week and test 0.25 as it did a few weeks ago (hoping we can break that resistance) so a drop from there on a delay would bring us back to current level. Hence why loading up early and whilst others chase elsewhere can make you (and save you) plenty more cash. GL