RE: Centamin stuck in limbo/5 Feb 2024 13:46
Hi Pam, welcome to the world of Centamin share ownership! I've been holding/trading this one for a couple of years and the price has ranged from 76p-125p visiting both extremes or close twice in that time. Many holders here made a lot of money when the shares hit £2 in 2020 but others also bought in at those levels and are pretty fed up, to put it mildly
FWIW I think the share price sinks on news of regional political instability, any hawkish news on central bank rates (higher rates = lower GP) and high costs of production and exploration.
On the plus side this is a world-class asset churning out 14-15 tonnes of pure gold every year and it is about to get better. Building doropo ($400million perhaps?) and continuing EDX and pit maintenance mean the company is ploughing an awful lot of that cash back into the ground and - as you point out they - have to give half their profits back to the egyptian government.
If the shares are £1 the company is valued at 1£.2billion or so which is around 10 times profit. so my rule of thumb is if the shares are trading at much less than a quid they're a bargain and at much over £1 it's time to take a little profit but that's just me. Anyway it's an intersting share to own and I wish you the best of luck with it.